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Football — Betting Analysis

Football

Use this data to identify leagues where outcomes are most predictable based on years of historical results. Higher favourite win rates mean more reliable pre-match favourites.

Result distribution

HomeDrawAway
Super League 1 — standings, results, stats1Super League 1
48.9%24.3%26.8%
La Liga — standings, results, stats2La Liga
47.3%25.8%26.9%
Eredivisie — standings, results, stats3Eredivisie
47.2%23.6%29.2%
Süper Lig — standings, results, stats4Süper Lig
46.9%24.9%28.2%
Jupiler Pro League — standings, results, stats5Jupiler Pro League
46.5%24.5%29.0%
Ligue 1 — standings, results, stats6Ligue 1
46.3%27.9%25.9%
Primeira Liga — standings, results, stats7Primeira Liga
46.3%25.6%28.1%
Bundesliga — standings, results, stats8Bundesliga
46.1%25.4%28.5%
Premier League — standings, results, stats9Premier League
45.6%25.6%28.8%
2. Bundesliga — standings, results, stats102. Bundesliga
45.6%27.6%26.8%
Serie A — standings, results, stats11Serie A
45.4%27.4%27.2%
Segunda División — standings, results, stats12Segunda División
44.8%29.9%25.3%
Ligue 2 — standings, results, stats13Ligue 2
44.5%31.0%24.5%
Serie B — standings, results, stats14Serie B
44.0%32.3%23.7%
Premiership — standings, results, stats15Premiership
43.6%24.2%32.2%
League One — standings, results, stats16League One
43.5%26.3%30.2%
Championship — standings, results, stats17Championship
43.4%27.4%29.2%
18National League
43.2%25.5%31.3%
19League Two
42.9%22.4%34.8%
20League One
42.8%23.7%33.5%
League Two — standings, results, stats21League Two
42.0%27.3%30.7%
Championship — standings, results, stats22Championship
41.2%26.8%32.0%

Goals per game

Eredivisie — standings, results, stats1Eredivisie
3.07
Bundesliga — standings, results, stats2Bundesliga
2.94
3League One
2.92
Jupiler Pro League — standings, results, stats4Jupiler Pro League
2.87
5League Two
2.87
Süper Lig — standings, results, stats6Süper Lig
2.80
2. Bundesliga — standings, results, stats72. Bundesliga
2.76
8National League
2.71
Premier League — standings, results, stats9Premier League
2.70
Premiership — standings, results, stats10Premiership
2.68
Championship — standings, results, stats11Championship
2.67
La Liga — standings, results, stats12La Liga
2.66
Serie A — standings, results, stats13Serie A
2.65
League One — standings, results, stats14League One
2.62
Championship — standings, results, stats15Championship
2.55
League Two — standings, results, stats16League Two
2.55
Primeira Liga — standings, results, stats17Primeira Liga
2.53
Ligue 1 — standings, results, stats18Ligue 1
2.47
Super League 1 — standings, results, stats19Super League 1
2.46
Serie B — standings, results, stats20Serie B
2.42
Segunda División — standings, results, stats21Segunda División
2.36
Ligue 2 — standings, results, stats22Ligue 2
2.33

Over 2.5 goals

Eredivisie — standings, results, stats1Eredivisie
58.5%
Bundesliga — standings, results, stats2Bundesliga
56.3%
3League One
55.9%
Jupiler Pro League — standings, results, stats4Jupiler Pro League
54.2%
5League Two
53.7%
Süper Lig — standings, results, stats6Süper Lig
53.2%
2. Bundesliga — standings, results, stats72. Bundesliga
52.1%
8National League
50.7%
Premier League — standings, results, stats9Premier League
50.6%
Premiership — standings, results, stats10Premiership
50.6%
La Liga — standings, results, stats11La Liga
49.4%
Serie A — standings, results, stats12Serie A
49.4%
Championship — standings, results, stats13Championship
49.3%
League One — standings, results, stats14League One
49.1%
Championship — standings, results, stats15Championship
47.5%
League Two — standings, results, stats16League Two
47.0%
Primeira Liga — standings, results, stats17Primeira Liga
46.4%
Super League 1 — standings, results, stats18Super League 1
44.9%
Ligue 1 — standings, results, stats19Ligue 1
44.8%
Serie B — standings, results, stats20Serie B
43.7%
Segunda División — standings, results, stats21Segunda División
42.0%
Ligue 2 — standings, results, stats22Ligue 2
41.2%

Both teams to score

Bundesliga — standings, results, stats1Bundesliga
56.2%
2League One
55.9%
Eredivisie — standings, results, stats3Eredivisie
55.6%
Jupiler Pro League — standings, results, stats4Jupiler Pro League
54.7%
Süper Lig — standings, results, stats5Süper Lig
54.2%
2. Bundesliga — standings, results, stats62. Bundesliga
54.0%
7National League
53.1%
8League Two
53.0%
Serie A — standings, results, stats9Serie A
52.6%
League One — standings, results, stats10League One
52.2%
Serie B — standings, results, stats11Serie B
52.1%
Championship — standings, results, stats12Championship
52.1%
League Two — standings, results, stats13League Two
51.6%
La Liga — standings, results, stats14La Liga
51.4%
Championship — standings, results, stats15Championship
51.3%
Premier League — standings, results, stats16Premier League
51.1%
Premiership — standings, results, stats17Premiership
49.6%
Segunda División — standings, results, stats18Segunda División
48.2%
Ligue 1 — standings, results, stats19Ligue 1
48.2%
Ligue 2 — standings, results, stats20Ligue 2
47.7%
Primeira Liga — standings, results, stats21Primeira Liga
47.4%
Super League 1 — standings, results, stats22Super League 1
43.7%

Upset rate

League Two — standings, results, stats1League Two
59.6%
Ligue 2 — standings, results, stats2Ligue 2
59.6%
Segunda División — standings, results, stats3Segunda División
59.3%
Serie B — standings, results, stats4Serie B
59.3%
Championship — standings, results, stats5Championship
58.3%
League One — standings, results, stats6League One
56.9%
2. Bundesliga — standings, results, stats72. Bundesliga
56.5%
8National League
54.3%
Ligue 1 — standings, results, stats9Ligue 1
53.2%
Championship — standings, results, stats10Championship
52.6%
Bundesliga — standings, results, stats11Bundesliga
51.0%
Süper Lig — standings, results, stats12Süper Lig
50.2%
Premiership — standings, results, stats13Premiership
49.8%
La Liga — standings, results, stats14La Liga
49.7%
15League Two
49.6%
16League One
49.4%
Jupiler Pro League — standings, results, stats17Jupiler Pro League
49.2%
Serie A — standings, results, stats18Serie A
49.1%
Primeira Liga — standings, results, stats19Primeira Liga
49.1%
Premier League — standings, results, stats20Premier League
48.9%
Super League 1 — standings, results, stats21Super League 1
48.3%
Eredivisie — standings, results, stats22Eredivisie
45.3%

Predictability (favourite wins)

Eredivisie — standings, results, stats1Eredivisie
56.2%
Primeira Liga — standings, results, stats2Primeira Liga
54.9%
Super League 1 — standings, results, stats3Super League 1
54.8%
Serie A — standings, results, stats4Serie A
54.3%
Premier League — standings, results, stats5Premier League
54.1%
Premiership — standings, results, stats6Premiership
53.8%
La Liga — standings, results, stats7La Liga
53.5%
Süper Lig — standings, results, stats8Süper Lig
52.7%
Jupiler Pro League — standings, results, stats9Jupiler Pro League
52.6%
Bundesliga — standings, results, stats10Bundesliga
51.6%
Ligue 1 — standings, results, stats11Ligue 1
51.0%
12League One
50.2%
13League Two
50.2%
14National League
48.6%
Championship — standings, results, stats15Championship
48.1%
League One — standings, results, stats16League One
47.7%
2. Bundesliga — standings, results, stats172. Bundesliga
47.3%
Championship — standings, results, stats18Championship
46.5%
Serie B — standings, results, stats19Serie B
46.3%
Ligue 2 — standings, results, stats20Ligue 2
46.3%
Segunda División — standings, results, stats21Segunda División
46.0%
League Two — standings, results, stats22League Two
45.4%

Detailed table

LeagueCountryHomeDrawAwayAvg goalsOver 2.5BTTSAvg odds 1/X/2UpsetsFavourite winsPredictability
1EredivisieNetherlands47.2%23.6%29.2%3.0758.5%55.6%2.71 / 4.28 / 4.8445.3%56.2%56%
2Primeira LigaPortugal46.3%25.6%28.1%2.5346.4%47.4%2.89 / 3.93 / 4.8549.1%54.9%55%
3Super League 1Greece48.9%24.3%26.8%2.4644.9%43.7%2.82 / 3.86 / 5.2748.3%54.8%55%
4Serie AItaly45.4%27.4%27.2%2.6549.4%52.6%2.69 / 3.77 / 4.6649.1%54.3%54%
5Premier LeagueEngland45.6%25.6%28.8%2.7050.6%51.1%2.77 / 4.02 / 4.7348.9%54.1%54%
6PremiershipScotland43.6%24.2%32.2%2.6850.6%49.6%3.04 / 4.06 / 4.5549.8%53.8%54%
7La LigaSpain47.3%25.8%26.9%2.6649.4%51.4%2.64 / 3.98 / 4.8349.7%53.5%54%
8Süper LigTurkey46.9%24.9%28.2%2.8053.2%54.2%2.48 / 3.77 / 4.1350.2%52.7%53%
9Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium46.5%24.5%29.0%2.8754.2%54.7%2.45 / 3.83 / 4.1649.2%52.6%53%
10BundesligaGermany46.1%25.4%28.5%2.9456.3%56.2%2.61 / 4.03 / 4.4151.0%51.6%52%
11Ligue 1France46.3%27.9%25.9%2.4744.8%48.2%2.48 / 3.61 / 4.3453.2%51.0%51%
12League OneScotland42.8%23.7%33.5%2.9255.9%55.9%2.48 / 3.80 / 3.4649.4%50.2%50%
13League TwoScotland42.9%22.4%34.8%2.8753.7%53.0%2.52 / 3.79 / 3.4849.6%50.2%50%
14National LeagueEngland43.2%25.5%31.3%2.7150.7%53.1%2.42 / 3.64 / 3.6554.3%48.6%49%
15ChampionshipScotland41.2%26.8%32.0%2.6749.3%51.3%2.54 / 3.71 / 3.5752.6%48.1%48%
16League OneEngland43.5%26.3%30.2%2.6249.1%52.2%2.38 / 3.52 / 3.5756.9%47.7%48%
172. BundesligaGermany45.6%27.6%26.8%2.7652.1%54.0%2.30 / 3.55 / 3.6656.5%47.3%47%
18ChampionshipEngland43.4%27.4%29.2%2.5547.5%52.1%2.37 / 3.50 / 3.6958.3%46.5%47%
19Serie BItaly44.0%32.3%23.7%2.4243.7%52.1%2.33 / 3.13 / 4.0859.3%46.3%46%
20Ligue 2France44.5%31.0%24.5%2.3341.2%47.7%2.30 / 3.15 / 3.9059.6%46.3%46%
21Segunda DivisiónSpain44.8%29.9%25.3%2.3642.0%48.2%2.27 / 3.19 / 3.9059.3%46.0%46%
22League TwoEngland42.0%27.3%30.7%2.5547.0%51.6%2.36 / 3.47 / 3.4559.6%45.4%45%
⚠

This page shows historical statistics — not betting recommendations. The data describes long-term patterns, not the outcome of individual matches.

What each metric means

Result distribution (H / D / A)

Percentage of matches ending in a home win, draw, or away win — calculated across all available seasons.

Average goals per game

Average total goals per match in this league.

Over 2.5 goals (%)

The direct historical base rate for "over 2.5 goals" bets: what percentage of matches finished with 3 or more goals.

Predictability (favourite wins)

Percentage of matches where the team with the lower odds (the favourite) won. A higher value means odds have historically been a good indicator of the outcome.

Data source: football-data.co.uk — historical results and closing odds. This data is not live odds and should not be used as the sole basis for any betting decision.