9 May 2021 at 11:30
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
SC Paderborn 07 dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.6
Average goals per game
50%
Games with 3+ goals
60%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (31%) — the odds may underestimate SC Paderborn 07.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.7%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.25 |
| Max | 3.11 | 3.55 | 2.36 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 31.3% | 27.4% | 41.3% |
| Public market | 31.1% | 27.4% | 41.5% |
Erzgebirge AUE vs SC Paderborn 07 — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/02/2221/22 | SC Paderborn 07 | 3–3 | Erzgebirge Aue | 1.52/4.36/5.92 |
| 19/09/2121/22 | Erzgebirge Aue | 1–4 | SC Paderborn 07 | 3.61/3.51/2.03 |
| 09/05/2120/21 | Erzgebirge Aue | 3–8 | SC Paderborn 07 | 3.04/3.45/2.29 |
| 10/01/2120/21 | SC Paderborn 07 | 2–1 | Erzgebirge Aue | 1.77/3.87/4.43 |
| 09/03/1918/19 | Erzgebirge Aue | 2–1 | SC Paderborn 07 | 3.27/3.71/2.08 |
| 29/09/1818/19 | SC Paderborn 07 | 1–0 | Erzgebirge Aue | 1.73/3.67/4.82 |
| 01/12/1313/14 | SC Paderborn 07 | 1–1 | Erzgebirge Aue | 1.90/3.56/3.94 |
| 04/05/1413/14 | Erzgebirge Aue | 0–2 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4.19/3.79/1.79 |
| 16/09/1212/13 | Erzgebirge Aue | 0–1 | SC Paderborn 07 | 2.49/3.25/2.86 |
| 15/02/1312/13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 2–0 | Erzgebirge Aue | 2.09/3.37/3.52 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Erzgebirge AUE
Away Record: SC Paderborn 07
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
SC Paderborn 07 defeated Erzgebirge AUE 8:3. The match was played in 2. Bundesliga 2020.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Erzgebirge AUE have recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats. SC Paderborn 07 show 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.
Erzgebirge AUE
SC Paderborn 07
Erzgebirge AUE vs SC Paderborn 07 Head to Head Results
Erzgebirge AUE and SC Paderborn 07 have met 11 times — Erzgebirge AUE won 1, SC Paderborn 07 won 8, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. SC Paderborn 07 leads the head-to-head with 8 victories from 11 meetings. A combined 28 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.55 per match (8 for the home side, 20 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (45%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (36%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. SC Paderborn 07 are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2022.
1
Erzgebirge AUE
2
Drawn
8
SC Paderborn 07
Recent Meetings (11)
API data: 15 Mar 2026