21 March 2026 at 12:00

Referee: Konrad Oldhafer

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

SC Paderborn 075wins
3draws10 meetings
Dynamo Dresden2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3

Average goals per game

90%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Market Summary

Margin: 6.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 57.1%Draw 26.7%Away 23.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.753.754.33
Max1.753.754.33
Over 2.5: 61.7%Under 2.5: 44.4%
Market favourite:SC Paderborn 07 · Moderate favourite

Result vs. Market

SC Paderborn 07
Result vs. Market: SC Paderborn 07 (57%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

SC Paderborn 07Half-time:01Dynamo Dresden
22Shots16
4Shots on target8

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
21/03/26SC Paderborn 072–1Dynamo Dresden1.75/3.75/4.33
25/10/25Dynamo Dresden1–2SC Paderborn 073.20/3.80/2.09
23/11/12SC Paderborn 072–2Dynamo Dresden1.78/3.67/4.42
12/02/22SC Paderborn 070–0Dynamo Dresden1.87/3.53/4.23
29/08/21Dynamo Dresden0–3SC Paderborn 072.44/3.30/2.88
19/05/19Dynamo Dresden3–1SC Paderborn 075.92/4.74/1.46
15/12/18SC Paderborn 073–0Dynamo Dresden1.84/3.89/3.91
22/09/13Dynamo Dresden2–2SC Paderborn 072.03/3.43/3.64
14/03/14SC Paderborn 072–1Dynamo Dresden1.98/3.52/3.74
03/05/13Dynamo Dresden2–1SC Paderborn 071.71/3.78/4.73

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: SC Paderborn 07

W 210D 146L 183
Over 2.555
Goals scored793

Away Record: Dynamo Dresden

W 110D 103L 156
Over 2.553
Goals scored456

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

SC Paderborn 07 defeated Dynamo Dresden 2:1. The match was played in 2. Bundesliga 2025. Goals were scored by V. Vermeij 32′, S. Tigges 66′, S. Tigges 85′. 2 yellow cards were shown. SC Paderborn 07 had 53% possession while Dynamo Dresden held 47%. SC Paderborn 07 had 22 shots (4 on target) compared to 16 (8 on target) for Dynamo Dresden. Expected goals: SC Paderborn 07 2.44 — Dynamo Dresden 1.19. SC Paderborn 07 made 5 substitutions, Dynamo Dresden made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between SC Paderborn 07 and Dynamo Dresden — 3 goals and 2 cards recorded during the match.

SC Paderborn 07
Dynamo Dresden
Kick Off
32′
V. Vermeij

assist: J. Sterner

Half Time
N. BatznerS. Tigges
46′
S. CastanedaM. Hansen
46′
60′
V. VermeijC. Daferner
S. Tigges

assist: F. Gotze

66′
72′
N. HauptmannL. Herrmann
72′
B. BobzienN. Froling
72′
J. CekaJ. Lemmer
R. MullerS. Michel
86′
S. MarinoK. Okpala
87′
87′
K. AmoakoS. Kutschke
M. BaurJ. Sticker
90+2′
Full Time

Match Statistics

SC Paderborn 07 had 53% possession against Dynamo Dresden's 47%. SC Paderborn 07 registered 22 shots (4 on target) while Dynamo Dresden managed 16 (8 on target). Corner kicks: 4–5. Fouls committed: 8–8.

4Shots on Goal8
10Shots off Goal4
22Total Shots16
8Blocked Shots4
14Shots insidebox10
8Shots outsidebox6
8Fouls8
4Corner Kicks5
1Offsides1
53%Ball Possession47%
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
8Goalkeeper Saves2
463Total passes420
390Passes accurate339
84%Passes %81%
2.44expected_goals1.19
0goals_prevented0

Lineups

SC Paderborn 07 lined up in a 3-4-2-1 formation under Ralf Kettemann, while Dynamo Dresden deployed a 4-2-3-1 under Thomas Stamm.

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for SC Paderborn 07 is 6.99, compared to 6.86 for Dynamo Dresden. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. SC Paderborn 07's highest-rated starter is Laurin Curda (7.31), while Dynamo Dresden's best-rated player is Ben Justus Bobzien (7.07).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of SC Paderborn 07 have contributed 22 goals and 25 assists this season, led by Laurin Curda (6G). Dynamo Dresden's starters account for 24 goals and 20 assists, spearheaded by Vincent Vermeij (8G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

SC Paderborn 07 deploy 3 defenders rated 6.98 on average, against Dynamo Dresden's 4-man backline averaging 6.76. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

SC Paderborn 07 field 4 midfielders averaging 7.13, versus Dynamo Dresden's 5 rated 6.89. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

SC Paderborn 07 start 3 forward(s) averaging 6.72, compared to 1 for Dynamo Dresden averaging 7.00. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 79% for SC Paderborn 07 and 79% for Dynamo Dresden. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

SC Paderborn 07's starters have collected 35 yellow cards this season, compared to 25 for Dynamo Dresden. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of SC Paderborn 07's starting XI is 23.4 (youngest: Dennis Seimen (20), oldest: Raphael Obermair (29)), while Dynamo Dresden average 24.0 (youngest: Friedrich Muller (19), oldest: Vincent Vermeij (31)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

SC Paderborn 07's starters average 26 league appearances each, versus 18 for Dynamo Dresden. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

SC Paderborn 073-4-2-14-2-3-1Dynamo Dresden
GKDEFMIDFWD
41Seimen25Scheller20Götze4Brackel.17Curda14Baur5Castane.23Obermair2Müller9Bätzner30Marino1Schreib.32Sterner13Pauli42Muller19Rossipal18Wagner6Amoako7Ceka27Hauptma.20Bobzien9Vermeij

Substitutes

Coach: Ralf Kettemann

Substitutes

Coach: Thomas Stamm

SC Paderborn 07Position StrengthDynamo Dresden
6.99
Avg Rating
6.86
7.30Goalkeeper (1 v 1)6.97
0G 0A0G 0A
6.98Defender (3 v 4)6.76
4G 4A4G 8A
7.13Midfielder (4 v 5)6.89
12G 18A12G 10A
6.72Forward (3 v 1)7.00
6G 3A8G 2A
SC Paderborn 073-4-2-1
41GoalkeeperDennis Seimen7.3
25DefenderTjark Lasse Scheller6.82G
20DefenderFelix Götze7.01G2A
4DefenderCalvin Brackelmann7.11G2A
17MidfielderLaurin Curda7.36G7A
14MidfielderMika Baur7.14G4A
5MidfielderSantiago Castaneda6.9
23MidfielderRaphael Obermair7.32G7A
2ForwardRuben Müller6.92A
9ForwardNick Bätzner6.62G
30ForwardStefano Marino6.74G1A
Dynamo Dresden4-2-3-1
1GoalkeeperTim Schreiber7.0
32DefenderJonas Sterner6.73A
13DefenderJulian Pauli6.61A
42DefenderFriedrich Muller6.8
19DefenderAlexander Rossipal7.04G4A
18MidfielderRobert Wagner6.9
6MidfielderKofi Jeremy Amoako6.71G
7MidfielderJason Ceka6.92G1A
27MidfielderNiklas Hauptmann6.95G5A
20MidfielderBen Justus Bobzien7.14G4A
9ForwardVincent Vermeij7.08G2A

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, SC Paderborn 07 have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats. Dynamo Dresden show 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

SC Paderborn 07

DWWWDD

Dynamo Dresden

WWLLWD

SC Paderborn 07 vs Dynamo Dresden Head to Head Results

SC Paderborn 07 and Dynamo Dresden have met 1 times — SC Paderborn 07 won 1, Dynamo Dresden won 0, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. SC Paderborn 07 leads the head-to-head with 1 victories from 1 meetings. A combined 3 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.00 per match (2 for the home side, 1 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 matches (100%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 games (100%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–2 in 2025.

1

SC Paderborn 07

0

Drawn

0

Dynamo Dresden

Goals: 2Goals: 1

Recent Meetings (1)

25 Oct 2025Dynamo Dresden1 – 2SC Paderborn 07
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 22 Mar 2026