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Vfb Stuttgart vs Hamburger Sv

Mercedes-Benz-Arena, Stuttgart28 May 2020 at 19:30

Match Events

VfB Stuttgart
Hamburger SV
Kick Off
16′
J. Pohjanpalo
H. Badstuber45′
45+2′
A. Hunt

Penalty

Half Time
W. Endo

assist: P. Stenzel

47′
N. González

Penalty

60′
69′
J. DudziakL. Schaub
69′
M. HarnikJairo Samperio
78′J. Vagnoman
H. Al GhaddiouiS. Kalajdzic
78′
S. WamangitukaD. Churlinov
78′
P. Forster80′
81′
J. PohjanpaloL. Hinterseer
O. MangalaG. Castro
82′
84′
J. VagnomanL. Beyer
88′A. Hunt
G. Castro90+3′
N. GonzálezM. Kempf
90+4′
G. Castro

assist: N. González

90+2′
Full Time

Match Statistics

7Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal3
13Total Shots8
2Blocked Shots1
8Shots insidebox5
5Shots outsidebox3
15Fouls14
5Corner Kicks4
1Offsides1
50%Ball Possession50%
3Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves4
495Total passes491
431Passes accurate402
87%Passes %82%

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for VfB Stuttgart is 6.70, compared to 6.88 for Hamburger SV. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. VfB Stuttgart's highest-rated starter is P. Stenzel (6.70), while Hamburger SV's best-rated player is Daniel Heuer (7.18).

Defensive Solidity

VfB Stuttgart deploy 4 defenders rated 6.70 on average, against Hamburger SV's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

VfB Stuttgart field 5 midfielders averaging —, versus Hamburger SV's 5 rated 6.59. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

VfB Stuttgart start 1 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 1 for Hamburger SV averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages —% for VfB Stuttgart and 78% for Hamburger SV. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

VfB Stuttgart's starters have collected 0 yellow cards this season, compared to 4 for Hamburger SV. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of VfB Stuttgart's starting XI is 29.0 (youngest: P. Stenzel (29), oldest: P. Stenzel (29)), while Hamburger SV average 30.0 (youngest: B. Jatta (27), oldest: Daniel Heuer (33)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

VfB Stuttgart's starters average 4 league appearances each, versus 23 for Hamburger SV. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

VfB Stuttgart4-2-3-14-1-4-1Hamburger SV
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Kobel28Badstub.35Kamiński15Stenzel3Endo20Förster23Mangala6Mola18Ghaddio.22González14Wamangi.1Heuer25Letsche.21Leibold4Drongel.27Vagnoman14Hunt8Dudziak29Fein18Jatta22Harnik19Pohjanp.

Substitutes

Coach: P. Matarazzo

Substitutes

Coach: D. Hecking

VfB StuttgartPosition StrengthHamburger SV
6.70
Avg Rating
6.88
Goalkeeper (1 v 1)7.18
0G 0A0G 0A
6.70Defender (4 v 4)
0G 0A0G 0A
Midfielder (5 v 5)6.59
0G 0A0G 1A
VfB Stuttgart4-2-3-1
1GoalkeeperG. Kobel
28DefenderH. Badstuber
35DefenderM. Kamiński
15DefenderP. Stenzel6.7
6DefenderC. Mola
3MidfielderW. Endo
20MidfielderP. Förster
23MidfielderO. Mangala
22MidfielderN. González
14MidfielderS. Wamangituka
18ForwardH. Al Ghaddioui
Hamburger SV4-1-4-1
1GoalkeeperDaniel Heuer7.2
25DefenderT. Letschert
21DefenderT. Leibold
4DefenderR. van Drongelen
27DefenderJ. Vagnoman
14MidfielderA. Hunt
8MidfielderJ. Dudziak
29MidfielderA. Fein
18MidfielderB. Jatta6.61A
22MidfielderM. Harnik
19ForwardJ. Pohjanpalo

Match Summary

VfB Stuttgart defeated Hamburger SV 3:2. The match was played in 2. Bundesliga 2019. Goals were scored by J. Pohjanpalo 16′, A. Hunt 45′ (pen.), W. Endo 47′, N. González 60′ (pen.), G. Castro 90′. 5 yellow cards were shown. VfB Stuttgart had 50% possession while Hamburger SV held 50%. VfB Stuttgart had 13 shots (7 on target) compared to 8 (4 on target) for Hamburger SV. VfB Stuttgart made 4 substitutions, Hamburger SV made 4.

Rivalry since 2010

VfB Stuttgart vs Hamburger SV Head to Head Results

21 stretnutí
VfB Stuttgart
12
wins
Drawn
2
Hamburger SV
7
wins
Total goals
73 · 3.5/match
Both scored
13/21 · 62%
Over 2.5
16/21 · 76%

Recent Form

VfB Stuttgart

DDWLWL

Hamburger SV

WLLLDL

Match Prediction

VfB Stuttgart

45%

Home win

 

45%

Draw

Hamburger SV

10%

Away win

Model advice

Double chance : VfB Stuttgart or draw

44%Form56%
60%Attack40%
50%Defence50%
50%Head-to-head50%

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

VfB Stuttgart1wins
0draws2 meetings
Hamburger SV1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

6.5

Average goals per game

100%

Games with 3+ goals

100%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (41%) — the odds may underestimate VfB Stuttgart.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 44.6%Draw 29.6%Away 31.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.153.303.10
Max2.333.503.22
Over 2.5: 58.1%Under 2.5: 48.3%
Market favourite:VfB Stuttgart · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market41.3%28.8%29.9%
Public market43.3%26.6%30.1%
Δ2.0%2.2%0.2%

VfB Stuttgart vs Hamburger SV — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

VfB Stuttgart
Result vs. Market: VfB Stuttgart (45%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

VfB StuttgartHalf-time:02Hamburger SV
13Shots9
7Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
28/05/20VfB Stuttgart3–2Hamburger SV2.24/3.38/3.14
26/10/19Hamburger SV6–2VfB Stuttgart2.02/3.56/3.59

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: VfB Stuttgart

W 38D 13L 17
Over 2.560
Goals scored125

Away Record: Hamburger SV

W 115D 66L 57
Over 2.562
Goals scored457

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026