2. Bundesliga · Season 2021
Match Events
Penalty
assist: F. Porath
Match Statistics
Lineups
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Holstein Kiel is 6.85, compared to 6.71 for Dynamo Dresden. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Holstein Kiel's highest-rated starter is F. Porath (6.90), while Dynamo Dresden's best-rated player is C. Daferner (6.71).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Holstein Kiel have contributed 2 goals and 2 assists this season, led by S. Skrzybski (2G). Dynamo Dresden's starters account for 7 goals and 1 assists, spearheaded by C. Daferner (7G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Holstein Kiel deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Dynamo Dresden's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Holstein Kiel field 3 midfielders averaging 6.90, versus Dynamo Dresden's 5 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Holstein Kiel start 3 forward(s) averaging 6.80, compared to 1 for Dynamo Dresden averaging 6.71. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 58% for Holstein Kiel and 62% for Dynamo Dresden. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Holstein Kiel's starters have collected 2 yellow cards this season, compared to 3 for Dynamo Dresden. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Holstein Kiel's starting XI is 30.5 (youngest: F. Porath (28), oldest: S. Skrzybski (33)), while Dynamo Dresden average 27.0 (youngest: C. Daferner (27), oldest: C. Daferner (27)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Holstein Kiel's starters average 11 league appearances each, versus 29 for Dynamo Dresden. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: M. Rapp
Substitutes
Coach: A. Schmidt
Match Summary
Holstein Kiel defeated Dynamo Dresden 2:1. The match was played in 2. Bundesliga 2021. Goals were scored by H. Mörschel 32′, B. Pichler 65′ (pen.), F. Reese 66′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Holstein Kiel had 67% possession while Dynamo Dresden held 33%. Holstein Kiel had 20 shots (8 on target) compared to 17 (4 on target) for Dynamo Dresden. Holstein Kiel made 5 substitutions, Dynamo Dresden made 4.
Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden Head to Head Results
12 stretnutíRecent Meetings
Recent Form
Holstein Kiel
Dynamo Dresden
Match Prediction
Holstein Kiel
45%
Home win
45%
Draw
Dynamo Dresden
10%
Away win
Model advice
Double chance : Holstein Kiel or draw
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Holstein Kiel dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.6
Average goals per game
67%
Games with 3+ goals
33%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (51%) — the odds may underestimate Holstein Kiel.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.8%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.85 | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| Max | 1.92 | 3.78 | 4.20 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 50.6% | 25.7% | 23.7% |
| Public market | 50.8% | 26.8% | 22.4% |
| Δ | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% |
Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/12/2525/26 | Holstein Kiel | 2–1 | Dynamo Dresden | 1.91/3.75/3.75 |
| 16/04/2221/22 | Dynamo Dresden | 0–0 | Holstein Kiel | 2.46/3.38/2.80 |
| 05/11/2121/22 | Holstein Kiel | 2–1 | Dynamo Dresden | 1.89/3.56/4.04 |
| 18/06/2019/20 | Holstein Kiel | 2–0 | Dynamo Dresden | 1.74/3.90/4.43 |
| 30/11/1919/20 | Dynamo Dresden | 1–2 | Holstein Kiel | 3.37/3.63/2.08 |
| 12/05/1918/19 | Holstein Kiel | 3–0 | Dynamo Dresden | 1.62/4.14/5.04 |
| 09/12/1818/19 | Dynamo Dresden | 0–2 | Holstein Kiel | 2.51/3.42/2.73 |
| 05/11/1717/18 | Holstein Kiel | 3–0 | Dynamo Dresden | 1.63/4.09/4.99 |
| 14/04/1817/18 | Dynamo Dresden | 0–4 | Holstein Kiel | 2.71/3.41/2.54 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Holstein Kiel
Away Record: Dynamo Dresden
Data: football-data.co.uk
API data: 11 May 2026