Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.5
Average goals per game
50%
Games with 3+ goals
50%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (50%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (39%) — the odds may underestimate Hamburger SV.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.1%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.38 | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| Max | 2.52 | 3.62 | 2.88 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 38.9% | 27.1% | 34.0% |
| Public market | 39.5% | 26.9% | 33.6% |
Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/12/2525/26 | Hamburger SV | 3–2 | Werder Bremen | 2.30/3.56/3.00 |
| 30/09/1717/18 | Hamburger SV | 0–0 | Werder Bremen | 2.71/3.32/2.70 |
| 24/02/1817/18 | Werder Bremen | 1–0 | Hamburger SV | 1.82/3.58/4.67 |
| 26/11/1616/17 | Hamburger SV | 2–2 | Werder Bremen | 2.41/3.41/3.04 |
| 16/04/1716/17 | Werder Bremen | 2–1 | Hamburger SV | 2.21/3.54/3.23 |
| 28/11/1515/16 | Werder Bremen | 1–3 | Hamburger SV | 2.29/3.36/3.23 |
| 22/04/1615/16 | Hamburger SV | 2–1 | Werder Bremen | 2.63/3.44/2.70 |
| 23/11/1414/15 | Hamburger SV | 2–0 | Werder Bremen | 1.92/3.64/3.94 |
| 19/04/1514/15 | Werder Bremen | 1–0 | Hamburger SV | 2.02/3.54/3.79 |
| 21/09/1313/14 | Hamburger SV | 0–2 | Werder Bremen | 1.98/3.50/3.85 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Hamburger SV
Away Record: Werder Bremen
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Hamburger SV defeated Werder Bremen 3:2. The match was played in Bundesliga 2012. Goals were scored by A. Lukimya 9′, Heung-Min Son 23′, D. Aogo 46′, A. Rudnevs 52′, S. Papastathopoulos 54′. Hamburger SV made 3 substitutions, Werder Bremen made 2.
Match Events
Key match events between Hamburger SV and Werder Bremen — 5 goals and 0 cards recorded during the match.
assist: A. Ignjovski
assist: M. Badelj
assist: Heung-Min Son
assist: D. Aogo
assist: T. Gebre Selassie
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Hamburger SV have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats. Werder Bremen show 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.
Hamburger SV
Werder Bremen
Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen Head to Head Results
Hamburger SV and Werder Bremen have met 19 times — Hamburger SV won 6, Werder Bremen won 11, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Werder Bremen leads the head-to-head with 11 victories from 19 meetings. A combined 54 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.84 per match (25 for the home side, 29 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 9 matches (47%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 games (53%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2025.
6
Hamburger SV
2
Drawn
11
Werder Bremen
Recent Meetings (19)
API data: 15 Mar 2026