21 February 2026 at 17:30

Referee: Benjamin Brand
Stadium: Red Bull Arena, Leipzig

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

RB Leipzig dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

RB Leipzig6wins
2draws10 meetings
Borussia Dortmund2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.5

Average goals per game

80%

Games with 3+ goals

80%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (44%) — the odds may underestimate RB Leipzig.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 46.5%Draw 26.3%Away 32.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.153.803.10
Max2.153.803.10
Over 2.5: 69.4%Under 2.5: 36.4%
Market favourite:RB Leipzig · Slight favourite

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: RB Leipzig (47%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

RB LeipzigHalf-time:20Borussia Dortmund
13Shots11
3Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
21/02/26RB Leipzig2–2Borussia Dortmund2.15/3.80/3.10
04/10/25Borussia Dortmund1–1RB Leipzig1.70/4.58/4.22
15/03/25RB Leipzig2–0Borussia Dortmund2.42/3.63/2.82
02/11/24Borussia Dortmund2–1RB Leipzig2.23/3.73/3.05
27/04/24RB Leipzig4–1Borussia Dortmund1.67/4.37/4.50
09/12/23Borussia Dortmund2–3RB Leipzig2.53/3.82/2.52
03/03/23Borussia Dortmund2–1RB Leipzig2.23/3.57/3.14
10/09/22RB Leipzig3–0Borussia Dortmund2.35/3.85/2.79
02/04/22Borussia Dortmund1–4RB Leipzig2.46/3.67/2.70
06/11/21RB Leipzig2–1Borussia Dortmund1.96/3.77/3.70

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: RB Leipzig

W 177D 82L 76
Over 2.561
Goals scored649

Away Record: Borussia Dortmund

W 577D 274L 266
Over 2.559
Goals scored2112

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund drew 2:2. The match was played in Bundesliga 2025. Goals were scored by C. Baumgartner 20′, C. Baumgartner 39′, Romulo Cardoso 50′ (o.g.), F. Silva 90′. 7 yellow cards were shown. RB Leipzig had 55% possession while Borussia Dortmund held 45%. RB Leipzig had 14 shots (3 on target) compared to 11 (5 on target) for Borussia Dortmund. Expected goals: RB Leipzig 1.81 — Borussia Dortmund 1.37. RB Leipzig made 5 substitutions, Borussia Dortmund made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund — 4 goals and 7 cards recorded during the match.

RB Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund
Kick Off
C. Baumgartner

assist: Y. Diomande

20′
Rômulo31′
C. Baumgartner

assist: D. Raum

39′
Half Time
50′
64′
L. ReggianiY. Couto
64′
M. BeierJ. Brandt
X. SchlagerA. Nusa
65′
65′
F. NmechaC. Chukwuemeka
72′
S. GuirassyF. Silva
76′
M. SabitzerK. Adeyemi
Romulo CardosoC. Harder
81′
B. GrudaE. Banzuzi
82′
R. BakuB. Henrichs
82′
David Raum90+2′
Y. DiomandeM. Finkgrafe
90+4′
90′
F. Silva

assist: K. Adeyemi

Full Time

Match Statistics

RB Leipzig had 55% possession against Borussia Dortmund's 45%. RB Leipzig registered 14 shots (3 on target) while Borussia Dortmund managed 11 (5 on target). Corner kicks: 6–2. Fouls committed: 11–17.

3Shots on Goal5
7Shots off Goal2
14Total Shots11
4Blocked Shots4
13Shots insidebox10
1Shots outsidebox1
11Fouls17
6Corner Kicks2
0Offsides4
55%Ball Possession45%
3Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards0
4Goalkeeper Saves1
452Total passes365
378Passes accurate279
84%Passes %76%
1.81expected_goals1.37
0goals_prevented0

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, RB Leipzig have recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats. Borussia Dortmund show 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

RB Leipzig

WWWWWL

Borussia Dortmund

WLLWWW

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Head to Head Results

RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund have met 1 times — RB Leipzig won 0, Borussia Dortmund won 0, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. A combined 2 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.00 per match (1 for the home side, 1 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 matches (100%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 0 games (0%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–1 in 2025.

0

RB Leipzig

1

Drawn

0

Borussia Dortmund

Goals: 1Goals: 1

Recent Meetings (1)

4 Oct 2025Borussia Dortmund1 – 1RB Leipzig
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 15 Mar 2026