21 March 2026 at 17:30
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Borussia Dortmund dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3
Average goals per game
60%
Games with 3+ goals
40%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (68%) — the odds may underestimate Borussia Dortmund.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.7%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.40 | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| Max | 1.40 | 5.00 | 7.00 |
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/2625/26 | Borussia Dortmund | 3–2 | Hamburger SV | 1.40/5.00/7.00 |
| 08/11/2525/26 | Hamburger SV | 1–1 | Borussia Dortmund | 4.46/4.24/1.71 |
| 20/09/1717/18 | Hamburger SV | 0–3 | Borussia Dortmund | 7.03/4.74/1.45 |
| 10/02/1817/18 | Borussia Dortmund | 2–0 | Hamburger SV | 1.35/5.26/8.89 |
| 05/11/1616/17 | Hamburger SV | 2–5 | Borussia Dortmund | 7.43/4.52/1.46 |
| 04/04/1716/17 | Borussia Dortmund | 3–0 | Hamburger SV | 1.29/5.98/10.50 |
| 20/11/1515/16 | Hamburger SV | 3–1 | Borussia Dortmund | 8.68/5.09/1.36 |
| 17/04/1615/16 | Borussia Dortmund | 3–0 | Hamburger SV | 1.35/5.26/8.93 |
| 04/10/1414/15 | Borussia Dortmund | 0–1 | Hamburger SV | 1.35/5.11/8.71 |
| 07/03/1514/15 | Hamburger SV | 0–0 | Borussia Dortmund | 6.68/4.08/1.55 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Borussia Dortmund
Away Record: Hamburger SV
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Borussia Dortmund defeated Hamburger SV 3:2. The match was played in Bundesliga 2025. Goals were scored by P. Otele 19′, A. S. Lokonga 38′, F. Nmecha 45′, R. Bensebaini 73′ (pen.), S. Guirassy 78′, R. Bensebaini 84′ (pen.). 5 yellow cards were shown. Borussia Dortmund had 68% possession while Hamburger SV held 32%. Borussia Dortmund had 24 shots (8 on target) compared to 4 (4 on target) for Hamburger SV. Expected goals: Borussia Dortmund 6.20 — Hamburger SV 1.47. Borussia Dortmund made 5 substitutions, Hamburger SV made 5.
Match Events
Key match events between Borussia Dortmund and Hamburger SV — 6 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.
assist: W. Mikelbrencis
assist: F. Vieira
Missed Penalty · assist: F. Nmecha
Penalty
Penalty
Match Statistics
Borussia Dortmund had 68% possession against Hamburger SV's 32%. Borussia Dortmund registered 24 shots (8 on target) while Hamburger SV managed 4 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 11–3. Fouls committed: 10–8.
Lineups
Borussia Dortmund lined up in a 3-5-2 formation under Niko Kovac, while Hamburger SV deployed a 3-4-3 under Merlin Polzin.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Borussia Dortmund is 7.00, compared to 6.87 for Hamburger SV. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Borussia Dortmund's highest-rated starter is Nico Schlotterbeck (7.67), while Hamburger SV's best-rated player is Luka Vušković (7.24).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Borussia Dortmund have contributed 27 goals and 28 assists this season, led by Maximilian Beier (8G). Hamburger SV's starters account for 21 goals and 15 assists, spearheaded by Luka Vušković (5G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Borussia Dortmund deploy 3 defenders rated 7.26 on average, against Hamburger SV's 3-man backline averaging 6.87. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Borussia Dortmund field 5 midfielders averaging 6.89, versus Hamburger SV's 4 rated 6.87. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Borussia Dortmund start 2 forward(s) averaging 6.82, compared to 3 for Hamburger SV averaging 6.79. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 81% for Borussia Dortmund and 79% for Hamburger SV. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Borussia Dortmund's starters have collected 33 yellow cards this season, compared to 40 for Hamburger SV. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Borussia Dortmund's starting XI is 24.8 (youngest: Luca Reggiani (17), oldest: Marcel Sabitzer (31)), while Hamburger SV average 25.3 (youngest: Luka Vušković (18), oldest: Daniel Heuer Fernandes (33)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Borussia Dortmund's starters average 25 league appearances each, versus 23 for Hamburger SV. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: Niko Kovac
Substitutes
Coach: Merlin Polzin
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Borussia Dortmund have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats. Hamburger SV show 1 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.
Borussia Dortmund
Hamburger SV
Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV Head to Head Results
Borussia Dortmund and Hamburger SV have met 17 times — Borussia Dortmund won 9, Hamburger SV won 5, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Borussia Dortmund leads the head-to-head with 9 victories from 17 meetings. A combined 60 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.53 per match (38 for the home side, 22 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 9 matches (53%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 games (65%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Borussia Dortmund are currently unbeaten in the last 6 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 6–2 in 2013.
9
Borussia Dortmund
3
Drawn
5
Hamburger SV
Recent Meetings (17)
API data: 22 Mar 2026