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BundesligaSeason 2025

SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig

16 May 2026 at 14:30Europa-Park-Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau
Referee: Sascha Stegemann

Match Summary

SC Freiburg defeated RB Leipzig 4:1. The match was played in Bundesliga 2025. Goals were scored by J. Beste 24′, I. Matanović 26′, A. Ouédraogo 33′, M. Ginter 47′, D. Scherhant 75′. 1 yellow card was shown. SC Freiburg had 41% possession while RB Leipzig held 59%. SC Freiburg had 11 shots (5 on target) compared to 14 (6 on target) for RB Leipzig. Expected goals: SC Freiburg 1.41 — RB Leipzig 1.24. SC Freiburg made 5 substitutions, RB Leipzig made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between SC Freiburg and RB Leipzig — 5 goals and 1 card recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Half Time
M. Ginter

assist: J. Makengo

47′
J. BesteV. Grifo
60′
N. HöflerL. Kübler
60′
63′
B. HenrichsR. Baku
63′
B. GrudaA. Nusa
J. ManzambiL. Höler
72′
M. GinterI. Ogbus
72′
73′
C. HarderRômulo
73′
N. SeiwaldT. Gomis
80′
Y. DiomandeJ. Bakayoko
I. MatanovićM. Philipp
86′
Full Time

Match Statistics

SC Freiburg had 41% possession against RB Leipzig's 59%. SC Freiburg registered 11 shots (5 on target) while RB Leipzig managed 14 (6 on target). Corner kicks: 1–2. Fouls committed: 13–7.

Shots on Goal
5
6
Shots Off Goal
5
5
Total Shots
11
14
Blocked Shots
1
3
Shots inside the Box
9
10
Shots outside the Box
2
4
Fouls
13
7
Corner Kicks
1
2
Offsides
1
1
Ball Possession
41%
59%
Yellow Cards
0
1
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
5
1
Total Passes
346
490
Accurate Passes
280
429
Pass Accuracy
81%
88%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
1.24
Goals Prevented (xGP)
-1.85
-1.85

Rivalry since 2015

SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig Head to Head Results· 22

SC Freiburg and RB Leipzig have met 22 times — SC Freiburg won 4, RB Leipzig won 13, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2015. RB Leipzig leads the head-to-head with 13 victories from 22 meetings. A combined 69 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.14 per match (21 for the home side, 48 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 15 matches (68%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 games (68%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. RB Leipzig are currently unbeaten in the last 13 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–5 in 2023.

Drawn
5
·
Total goals
69 · 3.1/match
Both scored
15/22 · 68%
Over 2.5
15/22 · 68%

Recent Meetings

14/01/26Bundesliga
Match Details
08/03/25Bundesliga
Match Details
26/10/24Bundesliga
Match Details
06/04/24Bundesliga
Match Details
12/11/23Bundesliga
Match Details
06/05/23Bundesliga
Match Details
02/05/23DFB-Pokal
Match Details
09/11/22Bundesliga
Match Details
05/03/22Bundesliga
Match Details
16/10/21Bundesliga
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 15 v 2023

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, SC Freiburg have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats. RB Leipzig show 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.9

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

RB Leipzig dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
3
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (35%) — the odds may underestimate RB Leipzig.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

16 May 202625/262.70/4.00/2.30
Match Details
14 Jan 202625/261.71/4.08/4.56
Match Details
8 Mar 202524/252.61/3.29/2.75
Match Details
26 Oct 202424/251.74/4.07/4.52
Match Details
6 Apr 202423/244.68/4.32/1.66
Match Details
12 Nov 202323/241.43/4.92/6.53
Match Details
6 May 202322/234.02/3.65/1.90
Match Details
9 Nov 202222/231.76/4.03/4.40
Match Details
5 Mar 202221/221.62/4.23/5.33
Match Details
16 Oct 202121/224.02/3.85/1.88
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 5.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 37.0%Draw 25.0%Away 43.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.704.002.30
Max2.704.002.30
Over 2.5: 69.4%Under 2.5: 36.4%
Market favourite:RB Leipzig · Slight favourite

Result vs. Market

SC Freiburg
Result vs. Market: RB Leipzig (43%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

SC FreiburgHalf-time:21RB Leipzig
11Shots14
5Shots on target6

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: SC Freiburg

W 293D 227L 364
Over 2.557
Goals scored1156

Away Record: RB Leipzig

W 180D 82L 78
Over 2.562
Goals scored659

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 Jun 2026