11 March 2022 at 19:45

13
Full Time
Referee: A. Muir

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Kilmarnock dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Ayr Utd1wins
0draws4 meetings
Kilmarnock3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (26%) — the odds may underestimate Kilmarnock.

Market Summary

Margin: 7.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 28.7%Draw 31.8%Away 47.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.253.102.05
Max3.703.202.20
Over 2.5: 41.7%Under 2.5: 65.4%
Market favourite:Kilmarnock · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market25.9%30.6%43.5%
Public market28.1%28.5%43.4%
Δ2.2%2.1%

Ayr Utd vs Kilmarnock — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Kilmarnock
Result vs. Market: Kilmarnock (47%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Ayr UtdHalf-time:13Kilmarnock
6Shots11
2Shots on target6

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
11/03/22Ayr Utd1–3Kilmarnock3.48/3.14/2.12
09/02/22Kilmarnock1–2Ayr Utd1.64/3.59/4.91
26/10/21Ayr Utd0–1Kilmarnock3.60/3.29/2.02
02/08/21Kilmarnock2–0Ayr Utd1.56/3.88/5.54

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Ayr Utd

W 214D 192L 257
Over 2.548
Goals scored849

Away Record: Kilmarnock

W 20D 7L 9
Over 2.536
Goals scored50

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Kilmarnock defeated Ayr Utd 3:1. The match was played in Championship 2021. Goals were scored by R. McKenzie 3′, O. Shaw 12′, J. Sanders 16′, K. McInroy 38′. 2 yellow cards were shown, 1 red cards. Ayr Utd made 4 substitutions, Kilmarnock made 3.

Match Events

Key match events between Ayr Utd and Kilmarnock — 4 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.

Ayr Utd
Kilmarnock
Kick Off
3′
R. McKenzie

assist: F. Murray

12′
O. Shaw

assist: K. Lafferty

16′
J. Sanders

assist: F. Murray

J. MaxwellB. Dempsey
20′
M. McKenzieM. Fjørtoft
20′
M. Fjortoft30′
K. McInroy

assist: T. Adeloye

38′
Half Time
T. AdeloyeJ. Baird
46′
48′L. Hodson
68′
K. LaffertyC. Burke
J. HoustonF. Bryden
69′
72′
J. SandersA. Taylor
73′A. Taylor
81′
S. McGinnB. Lyons
Full Time

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Ayr Utd have recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats. Kilmarnock show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Ayr Utd

LWLDLL

Kilmarnock

DLWWLD

Ayr Utd vs Kilmarnock Head to Head Results

Ayr Utd and Kilmarnock have met 1 times — Ayr Utd won 0, Kilmarnock won 1, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. Kilmarnock leads the head-to-head with 1 victories from 1 meetings. A combined 1 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.00 per match (0 for the home side, 1 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 0 matches (0%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 0 games (0%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–0 in 2025.

0

Ayr Utd

0

Drawn

1

Kilmarnock

Goals: 0Goals: 1

Recent Meetings (1)

4 Jul 2025Kilmarnock1 – 0Ayr Utd
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 15 Mar 2026