24 January 2026 at 15:00

11
Full Time
Referee: James Bell
Stadium: St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park, Birmingham

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Birmingham3wins
5draws10 meetings
Stoke City2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.1

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (51%) — the odds may underestimate Stoke City.

Market Summary

Margin: 8.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 55.2%Draw 27.8%Away 25.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.813.604.00
Max1.813.604.00
Over 2.5: 47.6%Under 2.5: 57.8%
Market favourite:Birmingham · Moderate favourite

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Birmingham (55%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BirminghamHalf-time:10Stoke City
18Shots7
5Shots on target1

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
24/01/26Birmingham1–1Stoke City1.81/3.60/4.00
13/09/25Stoke City1–0Birmingham3.07/3.18/2.38
20/01/24Stoke City1–2Birmingham1.92/3.50/4.03
26/12/23Birmingham1–3Stoke City2.61/3.28/2.74
10/04/23Birmingham0–0Stoke City3.27/3.21/2.31
05/11/22Stoke City1–2Birmingham2.06/3.41/3.67
19/02/22Stoke City2–2Birmingham1.79/3.61/4.69
14/08/21Birmingham0–0Stoke City2.75/3.06/2.77
10/04/21Birmingham2–0Stoke City2.94/3.01/2.65
04/10/20Stoke City1–1Birmingham2.27/3.12/3.50

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Birmingham

W 245D 209L 278
Over 2.544
Goals scored863

Away Record: Stoke City

W 189D 152L 207
Over 2.542
Goals scored633

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Birmingham and Stoke City drew 1:1. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by T. Iwata 42′, P. Neumann 71′ (o.g.). 2 yellow cards were shown. Birmingham had 46% possession while Stoke City held 54%. Birmingham had 18 shots (5 on target) compared to 7 (1 on target) for Stoke City. Expected goals: Birmingham 2.03 — Stoke City 0.36. Birmingham made 4 substitutions, Stoke City made 3.

Match Events

Key match events between Birmingham and Stoke City — 2 goals and 2 cards recorded during the match.

Birmingham
Stoke City
Kick Off
T. Iwata

assist: J. Stansfield

42′
Half Time
I. OsmanA. Priske
56′
T. DoyleJ. E. Solis Romero
57′
68′
E. BocatA. Cresswell
68′
J. BaeF. Fawunmi
71′
P. Neumann

Own Goal

M. DuckschK. Furuhashi
81′
89′
T. RigoB. Pearson
P. RobertsS. Wright
90+2′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Birmingham had 46% possession against Stoke City's 54%. Birmingham registered 18 shots (5 on target) while Stoke City managed 7 (1 on target). Corner kicks: 6–6. Fouls committed: 7–10.

5Shots on Goal1
5Shots off Goal3
18Total Shots7
8Blocked Shots3
14Shots insidebox3
4Shots outsidebox4
7Fouls10
6Corner Kicks6
3Offsides4
46%Ball Possession54%
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves4
303Total passes365
204Passes accurate265
67%Passes %73%
2.03expected_goals0.36
0goals_prevented0

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Birmingham have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats. Stoke City show 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Birmingham

WDWLLL

Stoke City

LLDLWL

Birmingham vs Stoke City Head to Head Results

Birmingham and Stoke City have met 1 times — Birmingham won 0, Stoke City won 1, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. Stoke City leads the head-to-head with 1 victories from 1 meetings. A combined 1 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.00 per match (0 for the home side, 1 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 0 matches (0%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 0 games (0%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–0 in 2025.

0

Birmingham

0

Drawn

1

Stoke City

Goals: 0Goals: 1

Recent Meetings (1)

13 Sept 2025Stoke City1 – 0Birmingham
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 15 Mar 2026