2 March 2026 at 20:00

Referee: Thomas Kirk
Stadium: St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park, Birmingham

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Middlesbrough dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Birmingham2wins
0draws10 meetings
Middlesbrough8wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.4

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (38%) — the odds may underestimate Middlesbrough.

Market Summary

Margin: 8.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 41.7%Draw 27.8%Away 38.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.403.602.57
Max2.403.602.57
Over 2.5: 54.1%Under 2.5: 50.0%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Result vs. Market

Middlesbrough
Result vs. Market: Birmingham (42%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BirminghamHalf-time:02Middlesbrough
11Shots10
7Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
02/03/26Birmingham1–3Middlesbrough2.40/3.60/2.57
08/11/25Middlesbrough2–1Birmingham2.55/3.25/2.65
12/03/24Birmingham0–1Middlesbrough2.85/3.54/2.41
21/10/23Middlesbrough1–0Birmingham1.76/3.75/4.55
02/01/23Birmingham1–3Middlesbrough3.11/3.35/2.33
05/10/22Middlesbrough1–0Birmingham1.66/3.70/5.69
15/03/22Birmingham0–2Middlesbrough3.68/3.34/2.07
30/10/21Middlesbrough0–2Birmingham2.15/3.25/3.59
16/01/21Middlesbrough0–1Birmingham1.83/3.40/4.90
19/12/20Birmingham1–4Middlesbrough3.32/3.07/2.38

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Birmingham

W 245D 209L 278
Over 2.544
Goals scored863

Away Record: Middlesbrough

W 309D 180L 243
Over 2.546
Goals scored991

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Middlesbrough defeated Birmingham 3:1. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by M. Targett 13′, M. Targett 26′, M. Ducksch 48′, D. Strelec 60′. 6 yellow cards were shown. Birmingham had 60% possession while Middlesbrough held 40%. Birmingham had 11 shots (7 on target) compared to 10 (3 on target) for Middlesbrough. Expected goals: Birmingham 0.62 — Middlesbrough 1.06. Birmingham made 5 substitutions, Middlesbrough made 4.

Match Events

Key match events between Birmingham and Middlesbrough — 4 goals and 6 cards recorded during the match.

Birmingham
Middlesbrough
Kick Off
13′
M. Targett

assist: A. Morris

26′
M. Targett

assist: H. Hackney

Half Time
M. Ducksch

assist: J. Stansfield

48′
60′
D. Strelec

assist: L. Ayling

61′
D. StrelecM. Whittaker
P. RobertsC. Vicente
64′
J. StansfieldA. Priske
65′
D. GrayPaik Seung-Ho
72′
B. Osayi-SamuelI. Osman
72′
74′
R. McGreeA. Browne
75′
T. ConwayJ. Sarmiento
J. PanzoE. Laird
84′
E. Laird90+1′
90+1′
H. HackneyA. Gilbert
Full Time

Match Statistics

Birmingham had 60% possession against Middlesbrough's 40%. Birmingham registered 11 shots (7 on target) while Middlesbrough managed 10 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 6–2. Fouls committed: 11–12.

7Shots on Goal3
0Shots off Goal4
11Total Shots10
4Blocked Shots3
5Shots insidebox8
6Shots outsidebox2
11Fouls12
6Corner Kicks2
3Offsides3
60%Ball Possession40%
2Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards0
0Goalkeeper Saves5
450Total passes307
340Passes accurate216
76%Passes %70%
0.62expected_goals1.06
0goals_prevented0

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Birmingham have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats. Middlesbrough show 1 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Birmingham

WDWLLL

Middlesbrough

WDLDLD

Birmingham vs Middlesbrough Head to Head Results

Birmingham and Middlesbrough have met 1 times — Birmingham won 0, Middlesbrough won 1, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. Middlesbrough leads the head-to-head with 1 victories from 1 meetings. A combined 3 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.00 per match (1 for the home side, 2 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 matches (100%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 games (100%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–1 in 2025.

0

Birmingham

0

Drawn

1

Middlesbrough

Goals: 1Goals: 2

Recent Meetings (1)

8 Nov 2025Middlesbrough2 – 1Birmingham
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 15 Mar 2026