20 March 2026 at 20:00

31
Full Time
Referee: Farai Hallam
Stadium: Deepdale, Preston

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Preston4wins
4draws10 meetings
Stoke City2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.9

Average goals per game

30%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (38%) — the odds may underestimate Stoke City.

Market Summary

Margin: 7.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 40.8%Draw 30.8%Away 36.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.453.252.75
Max2.453.252.75
Over 2.5: 47.6%Under 2.5: 57.8%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Result vs. Market

Preston
Result vs. Market: Preston (41%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

PrestonHalf-time:11Stoke City
13Shots13
3Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
20/03/26Preston3–1Stoke City2.45/3.25/2.75
26/12/25Stoke City0–0Preston2.11/3.24/3.50
05/04/25Preston1–1Stoke City2.39/3.15/3.12
26/11/24Stoke City0–0Preston2.06/3.43/3.69
09/03/24Preston1–2Stoke City2.43/3.23/3.04
02/09/23Stoke City0–2Preston1.95/3.40/3.89
02/01/23Stoke City0–1Preston2.12/3.33/3.60
15/10/22Preston0–2Stoke City2.39/3.14/3.17
03/01/22Stoke City1–2Preston2.02/3.32/3.92
28/09/21Preston1–1Stoke City2.73/3.07/2.79

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Preston

W 299D 240L 285
Over 2.548
Goals scored1010

Away Record: Stoke City

W 189D 152L 207
Over 2.542
Goals scored633

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Preston defeated Stoke City 3:1. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by S. Thomas 4′, A. Devine 15′, M. Osmajic 57′, A. Devine 60′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Preston had 46% possession while Stoke City held 54%. Preston had 13 shots (3 on target) compared to 13 (2 on target) for Stoke City. Expected goals: Preston 2.81 — Stoke City 0.99. Preston made 5 substitutions, Stoke City made 4.

Match Events

Key match events between Preston and Stoke City — 4 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.

Preston
Stoke City
Kick Off
4′
S. Thomas

assist: J. Tchamadeu

A. Devine

assist: A. Moran

15′
Half Time
46′
M. SmitS. Gallagher
46′
J. TchamadeuJ. Rak-Sakyi
48′
S. N'ZonziJ. Bae
M. Osmajic

assist: L. Dobbin

57′
A. Devine

assist: M. Osmajic

60′
A. VukcevicT. Small
63′
65′
M. ManhoefD. Mubama
A. MoranB. Potts
76′
M. OsmajicD. Jebbison
77′
P. ValentinO. Offiah
84′
L. DobbinM. Smith
84′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Preston had 46% possession against Stoke City's 54%. Preston registered 13 shots (3 on target) while Stoke City managed 13 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 7–9. Fouls committed: 12–7.

3Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal3
13Total Shots13
5Blocked Shots8
12Shots insidebox5
1Shots outsidebox8
12Fouls7
7Corner Kicks9
3Offsides0
46%Ball Possession54%
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves0
339Total passes402
221Passes accurate275
65%Passes %68%
2.81expected_goals0.99
-2goals_prevented-2

Lineups

Preston lined up in a 3-1-4-2 formation, while Stoke City deployed a 4-2-3-1.

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Preston is 6.85, compared to 6.75 for Stoke City. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Preston's highest-rated starter is Alfie Devine (7.16), while Stoke City's best-rated player is Sorba Thomas (7.02).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Preston have contributed 30 goals and 26 assists this season, led by Alfie Devine (8G). Stoke City's starters account for 24 goals and 20 assists, spearheaded by Sorba Thomas (10G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Preston deploy 3 defenders rated 6.83 on average, against Stoke City's 4-man backline averaging 6.79. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Preston field 5 midfielders averaging 6.87, versus Stoke City's 5 rated 6.80. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Preston start 2 forward(s) averaging 6.72, compared to 1 for Stoke City averaging 6.55. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 70% for Preston and 73% for Stoke City. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Preston's starters have collected 49 yellow cards this season, compared to 47 for Stoke City. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Preston's starting XI is 26.9 (youngest: Alfie Devine (21), oldest: Andrew Hughes (33)), while Stoke City average 25.6 (youngest: Ashley Phillips (20), oldest: Steven​ N'Zonzi (37)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Preston's starters average 32 league appearances each, versus 27 for Stoke City. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Preston3-1-4-24-2-3-1Stoke City
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Iversen14Storey6Lindsay16Hughes4Whiteman2Valentín23Moran21Devine3Vukčević28Osmajić17Dobbin25Simkin22Tchamad.26Phillips23Gibson17Bocat15N'Zonzi4Pearson42Manhoef19Rigo7Thomas49Smit

Substitutes

Substitutes

PrestonPosition StrengthStoke City
6.85
Avg Rating
6.75
7.08Goalkeeper (1 v 1)6.54
0G 1A0G 0A
6.83Defender (3 v 4)6.79
3G 2A2G 4A
6.87Midfielder (5 v 5)6.80
11G 14A20G 15A
6.72Forward (2 v 1)6.55
16G 9A2G 1A
Preston3-1-4-2
1GoalkeeperDaniel Iversen7.11A
14DefenderJordan Storey6.92G2A
6DefenderLiam Lindsay6.8
16DefenderAndrew Hughes6.81G
4MidfielderBenjamin Whiteman7.12G5A
2MidfielderPol Valentín6.72A
23MidfielderAndrew Moran6.61G1A
21MidfielderAlfie Devine7.28G4A
3MidfielderAndrija Vukčević6.72A
28ForwardMilutin Osmajić6.88G1A
17ForwardLewis Dobbin6.78G8A
Stoke City4-2-3-1
25GoalkeeperTommy Simkin6.5
22DefenderJunior Tchamadeu6.91G2A
26DefenderAshley Phillips6.81A
23DefenderBen Gibson6.81G
17DefenderEric Bocat6.61A
15MidfielderSteven​ N'Zonzi6.71G
4MidfielderBen Pearson6.81G
42MidfielderMillion Manhoef6.87G4A
19MidfielderTomáš Rigo6.81G1A
7MidfielderSorba Thomas7.010G10A
49ForwardMilan Smit6.52G1A

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Preston have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Stoke City show 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Preston

LLWDDW

Stoke City

LLDLWL

Preston vs Stoke City Head to Head Results

Preston and Stoke City have met 1 times — Preston won 0, Stoke City won 0, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. A combined 0 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 0.00 per match (0 for the home side, 0 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 0 matches (0%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 0 games (0%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals.

0

Preston

1

Drawn

0

Stoke City

Goals: 0Goals: 0

Recent Meetings (1)

26 Dec 2025Stoke City0 – 0Preston
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 22 Mar 2026