Derby vs Millwall — Match Details | Betmana

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Derby2wins

3draws10 meetings

Millwall5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.9

Average goals per game

20%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (43%) — the odds may underestimate Millwall.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

44%

30%

Home 43.9% ✓Draw 30.1%Away 29.7%

Odds Range

	1	X	2
Min	2.23	3.10	3.30
Max	2.30	3.47	3.40

Market favourite:Derby · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

	1	X	2
Professional market	43.5%	27.9%	28.6%
Public market	42.5%	28.7%	28.7%

Derby vs Millwall — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

✓Derby

Result vs. Market: Derby (44%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

DerbyHalf-time:0 – 0Millwall

8Shots6

4Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Avg. odds
10/03/2625/26	Millwall	1–0	Derby	2.05/3.40/3.50
10/12/2525/26	Derby	1–1	Millwall	2.51/3.00/3.00
22/02/2524/25	Derby	0–1	Millwall	2.50/2.90/3.29
19/10/2424/25	Millwall	1–1	Derby	2.02/3.29/3.92
23/02/2221/22	Derby	1–2	Millwall	2.66/3.06/2.89
06/11/2121/22	Millwall	1–1	Derby	1.85/3.34/4.75
13/03/2120/21	Derby	0–1	Millwall	2.60/3.02/3.02
05/12/2020/21	Millwall	0–1	Derby	2.02/3.29/4.06
20/06/2019/20	Millwall	2–3	Derby	2.40/3.13/3.25
14/12/1919/20	Derby	0–1	Millwall	2.51/3.20/3.03

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Derby

W 333D 233L 308

Over 2.548

Goals scored1153

Away Record: Millwall

W 250D 216L 270

Over 2.541

Goals scored816

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026