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Burnley vs Derby

Full Time

Championship · Season 2015

Turf Moor, Burnley25 January 2016 at 19:45
Home

Burnley

4–1
Away

Derby

Referee: Michael Oliver

Match Summary

Burnley defeated Derby 4:1. The match was played in Championship 2015.

Rivalry since 2011

Burnley vs Derby Head to Head Results

10 stretnutí
Burnley
6
wins
Drawn
4
Derby
0
wins
Total goals
16 · 1.6/match
Both scored
3/10 · 30%
Over 2.5
4/10 · 40%

Recent Meetings

26/08/25Burnley
2–1DerbyLeague Cup
08/04/25Derby
0–0BurnleyChampionship
10/12/24Burnley
0–0DerbyChampionship
21/09/15Derby
0–0BurnleyChampionship
01/03/14Burnley
2–0DerbyChampionship
31/08/13Derby
0–3BurnleyChampionship
26/12/12Burnley
2–0DerbyChampionship
22/09/12Derby
1–2BurnleyChampionship
21/01/12Burnley
0–0DerbyChampionship
27/08/11Derby
1–2BurnleyChampionship
Highest-scoring game: 2–1 v 2025All 10 meetings

Recent Form

Burnley

DLLLLL

Derby

LWLWLW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Burnley dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Burnley6wins
4draws10 meetings
Derby0wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.8

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

30%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (35%) — the odds may underestimate Burnley.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 36.8% ✓Draw 31.5%Away 35.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.703.002.80
Max2.763.302.88
Market favourite:— · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market35.3%30.4%34.3%
Public market36.3%29.7%34.0%

Burnley vs Derby — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

✓Burnley
Result vs. Market: Burnley (37%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BurnleyHalf-time:1 – 1Derby
9Shots14
6Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
08/04/25Derby0–0Burnley4.57/3.26/1.86
10/12/24Burnley0–0Derby1.70/3.45/5.57
21/09/15Derby0–0Burnley2.14/3.32/3.54
25/01/16Burnley4–1Derby2.72/3.17/2.84
31/08/13Derby0–3Burnley1.97/3.43/4.07
01/03/14Burnley2–0Derby2.25/3.33/3.43
27/08/11Derby1–2Burnley2.40/3.26/2.91
26/12/12Burnley2–0Derby2.28/3.46/3.12
22/09/12Derby1–2Burnley2.13/3.36/3.51
21/01/12Burnley0–0Derby1.86/3.33/4.37

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Burnley

W 241D 164L 147
Over 2.544
Goals scored756

Away Record: Derby

W 333D 233L 308
Over 2.548
Goals scored1153

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026