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Qpr vs Derby

Loftus Road Stadium, London8 March 2016 at 19:45
Home

QPR

20
Away

Derby

Referee: Neil Swarbrick

Match Summary

QPR defeated Derby 2:0. The match was played in Championship 2015.

Rivalry since 2013

QPR vs Derby Head to Head Results

20 stretnutí
QPR
7
wins
Drawn
3
Derby
10
wins
Total goals
39 · 1.9/match
Both scored
7/20 · 35%
Over 2.5
5/20 · 25%

Recent Form

QPR

LLLLDD

Derby

LWLWLW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

QPR5wins
1draws10 meetings
Derby4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (29%) — the odds may underestimate QPR.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 29.5%Draw 30.5%Away 43.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.253.202.30
Max3.503.352.33
Market favourite:Derby · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market28.7%29.3%42.1%
Public market27.9%29.6%42.5%

QPR vs Derby — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

QPR
Result vs. Market: Derby (43%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

QPRHalf-time:10Derby
9Shots12
4Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
25/04/26QPR2–3Derby2.85/3.50/2.20
25/10/25Derby1–0QPR2.50/3.29/2.80
14/02/25QPR4–0Derby2.08/3.16/4.02
05/10/24Derby2–0QPR2.26/3.38/3.21
18/04/22QPR1–0Derby2.24/3.26/3.34
29/11/21Derby1–2QPR2.97/3.33/2.42
23/01/21QPR0–1Derby2.60/3.14/2.92
04/11/20Derby0–1QPR2.31/3.28/3.23
25/02/20QPR2–1Derby2.19/3.53/3.28
30/11/19Derby1–1QPR2.38/3.59/2.88

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: QPR

W 303D 232L 339
Over 2.549
Goals scored1055

Away Record: Derby

W 333D 233L 308
Over 2.548
Goals scored1153

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026