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Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest

Villa Park, Birmingham11 September 2016 at 13:15

Match Summary

Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest drew 2:2. The match was played in Championship 2016.

Rivalry since 2017

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Head to Head Results

14 stretnutí
Aston Villa
7
wins
Drawn
3
Nottingham Forest
4
wins
Total goals
46 · 3.3/match
Both scored
10/14 · 71%
Over 2.5
8/14 · 57%

Recent Form

Aston Villa

DWLLLW

Nottingham Forest

DLWWWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Aston Villa3wins
2draws6 meetings
Nottingham Forest1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

4.2

Average goals per game

83%

Games with 3+ goals

83%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (33%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (55%) — the odds may underestimate Nottingham Forest.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 57.0%Draw 27.2%Away 19.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.733.505.00
Max1.783.765.25
Market favourite:Aston Villa · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market54.9%26.0%19.1%
Public market55.6%25.9%18.5%

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Aston Villa (57%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Aston VillaHalf-time:00Nottingham Forest
26Shots3
8Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
13/03/19Nottingham Forest1–3Aston Villa2.55/3.46/2.83
28/11/18Aston Villa5–5Nottingham Forest1.92/3.46/4.46
23/09/17Aston Villa2–1Nottingham Forest1.75/3.63/5.27
13/01/18Nottingham Forest0–1Aston Villa3.03/3.25/2.51
11/09/16Aston Villa2–2Nottingham Forest1.75/3.67/5.12
04/02/17Nottingham Forest2–1Aston Villa2.97/3.22/2.63

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Aston Villa

W 60D 41L 37
Over 2.546
Goals scored201

Away Record: Nottingham Forest

W 238D 205L 247
Over 2.545
Goals scored860

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026