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Millwall vs Aston Villa

The Den, London6 October 2018 at 15:00
21
Referee: Tony Harrington

Match Summary

Millwall defeated Aston Villa 2:1. The match was played in Championship 2018.

Rivalry since 2013

Millwall vs Aston Villa Head to Head Results

4 stretnutí
Millwall
2
wins
Drawn
1
Aston Villa
1
wins
Total goals
5 · 1.3/match
Both scored
1/4 · 25%
Over 2.5
1/4 · 25%

Recent Form

Millwall

WDWWDL

Aston Villa

DWLLLW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Millwall2wins
1draws4 meetings
Aston Villa1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.3

Average goals per game

25%

Games with 3+ goals

25%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (35%) — the odds may underestimate Millwall.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 36.1%Draw 29.9%Away 37.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.753.302.62
Max2.803.402.74
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market35.2%29.2%35.6%
Public market35.0%28.8%36.3%

Millwall vs Aston Villa — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Millwall
Result vs. Market: Aston Villa (37%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

MillwallHalf-time:11Aston Villa
18Shots6
4Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
22/04/19Aston Villa1–0Millwall1.60/4.12/5.93
06/10/18Millwall2–1Aston Villa2.77/3.35/2.69
09/12/17Aston Villa0–0Millwall1.76/3.71/4.96
06/05/18Millwall1–0Aston Villa2.43/3.47/2.97

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Millwall

W 250D 216L 270
Over 2.541
Goals scored816

Away Record: Aston Villa

W 60D 41L 37
Over 2.546
Goals scored201

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026