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Derby vs Aston Villa

Full Time

Championship · Season 2018

Pride Park Stadium, Derby10 November 2018 at 15:00
Home

Derby

0–3
Away

Aston Villa

Referee: John Brooks

Match Summary

Aston Villa defeated Derby 3:0. The match was played in Championship 2018.

Rivalry since 2016

Derby vs Aston Villa Head to Head Results

6 stretnutí
Derby
1
wins
Drawn
2
Aston Villa
3
wins
Total goals
12 · 2.0/match
Both scored
2/6 · 33%
Over 2.5
2/6 · 33%

Recent Meetings

27/05/19Aston Villa
2–1DerbyChampionship
02/03/19Aston Villa
4–0DerbyChampionship
28/04/18Aston Villa
1–1DerbyChampionship
16/12/17Derby
2–0Aston VillaChampionship
25/02/17Aston Villa
1–0DerbyChampionship
20/08/16Derby
0–0Aston VillaChampionship
Highest-scoring game: 4–0 v 2019All 6 meetings

Recent Form

Derby

LWLWLW

Aston Villa

DWLLLW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Derby1wins
2draws6 meetings
Aston Villa3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2

Average goals per game

33%

Games with 3+ goals

17%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (33%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (46%) — the odds may underestimate Aston Villa.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 47.6%Draw 28.3%Away 27.2% ✓

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.103.503.50
Max2.103.603.77
Market favourite:Derby · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market46.4%27.8%25.8%
Public market46.7%27.2%26.1%

Derby vs Aston Villa — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

✗Aston Villa
Result vs. Market: Derby (48%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

DerbyHalf-time:0 – 0Aston Villa
11Shots21
5Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
02/03/19Aston Villa4–0Derby2.13/3.54/3.55
10/11/18Derby0–3Aston Villa2.10/3.54/3.67
16/12/17Derby2–0Aston Villa2.32/3.21/3.37
28/04/18Aston Villa1–1Derby1.90/3.48/4.49
20/08/16Derby0–0Aston Villa2.16/3.33/3.65
25/02/17Aston Villa1–0Derby2.41/3.26/3.17

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Derby

W 333D 233L 308
Over 2.548
Goals scored1153

Away Record: Aston Villa

W 60D 41L 37
Over 2.546
Goals scored201

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026