Menu

Derby vs Luton

Full Time

Championship · Season 2019

Pride Park Stadium, Derby5 October 2019 at 15:00
Home

Derby

2–0
Away

Luton

Referee: G. Eltringham

Match Summary

Derby defeated Luton 2:0. The match was played in Championship 2019.

Rivalry since 2020

Derby vs Luton Head to Head Results

7 stretnutí
Derby
1
wins
Drawn
1
Luton
5
wins
Total goals
19 · 2.7/match
Both scored
4/7 · 57%
Over 2.5
4/7 · 57%

Recent Meetings

18/04/25Derby
0–1LutonChampionship
20/12/24Luton
2–1DerbyChampionship
26/02/22Luton
1–0DerbyChampionship
19/10/21Derby
2–2LutonChampionship
02/04/21Derby
2–0LutonChampionship
19/09/20Luton
2–1DerbyChampionship
28/01/20Luton
3–2DerbyChampionship
Highest-scoring game: 3–2 v 2020All 7 meetings

Recent Form

Derby

LWLWLW

Luton

WWWDWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Derby4wins
1draws10 meetings
Luton5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.4

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (47%) — the odds may underestimate Derby.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 49.0% ✓Draw 28.2%Away 27.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.003.503.60
Max2.073.603.80
Over 2.5: 60.2%Under 2.5: 45.5%
Market favourite:Derby · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market47.0%27.4%25.6%
Public market46.4%27.2%26.4%

Derby vs Luton — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

✓Derby
Result vs. Market: Derby (49%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

DerbyHalf-time:1 – 0Luton
10Shots7
2Shots on target1

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
18/04/25Derby0–1Luton2.60/2.98/2.98
20/12/24Luton2–1Derby2.20/3.16/3.55
26/02/22Luton1–0Derby1.85/3.40/4.59
19/10/21Derby2–2Luton3.24/3.16/2.36
02/04/21Derby2–0Luton2.13/3.18/3.81
19/09/20Luton2–1Derby2.73/3.16/2.70
20/04/07Derby1–0Luton1.33/4.48/8.00
28/01/20Luton3–2Derby3.16/3.45/2.28
05/10/19Derby2–0Luton2.04/3.55/3.70
18/11/06Luton0–2Derby2.45/3.12/2.61

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Derby

W 333D 233L 308
Over 2.548
Goals scored1153

Away Record: Luton

W 113D 79L 130
Over 2.547
Goals scored379

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026