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Dunfermline vs Ayr Utd

East End Park, Dunfermline19 October 2019 at 15:00
32
Referee: A. Muir

Match Events

Dunfermline
Ayr Utd
Kick Off
9′A. Muirhead
G. Kiltie

assist: K. Nisbet

28′
43′
L. Ashcroft

Own Goal

Half Time
46′
M. KerrJ. Houston
H. CochraneJ. Coley
51′
57′
A. Forrest
K. NisbetA. Ryan
61′
L. Ashcroft
63′
68′L. McCowan
77′R. Docherty
K. Turner78′
K. TurnerT. Beadling
79′
82′
L. McCowanK. Doolan
A. Ryan

assist: G. Kiltie

84′
90′A. Geggan
Full Time

Match Summary

Dunfermline defeated Ayr Utd 3:2. The match was played in Championship 2019. Goals were scored by G. Kiltie 28′, L. Ashcroft 43′ (o.g.), A. Forrest 57′, L. Ashcroft 63′, A. Ryan 84′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Dunfermline made 3 substitutions, Ayr Utd made 2.

Rivalry since 2015

Dunfermline vs Ayr Utd Head to Head Results

33 stretnutí
Dunfermline
11
wins
Drawn
10
Ayr Utd
12
wins
Total goals
71 · 2.2/match
Both scored
12/33 · 36%
Over 2.5
11/33 · 33%

Recent Form

Dunfermline

WDWLDD

Ayr Utd

LLLWLD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Ayr Utd dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Dunfermline2wins
2draws10 meetings
Ayr Utd6wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

30%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (38%) — the odds may underestimate Ayr Utd.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 39.1%Draw 29.7%Away 36.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.523.202.62
Max2.603.512.83
Over 2.5: 47.6%Under 2.5: 58.8%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market38.3%27.5%34.1%
Public market36.7%27.5%35.7%
Δ1.6%1.6%

Dunfermline vs Ayr Utd — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Dunfermline
Result vs. Market: Dunfermline (39%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

DunfermlineHalf-time:11Ayr Utd
13Shots15
7Shots on target9

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
07/04/26Ayr Utd0–3Dunfermline2.25/3.00/2.90
20/12/25Dunfermline2–3Ayr Utd2.45/3.10/2.63
31/10/25Ayr Utd0–1Dunfermline1.83/3.50/3.80
23/09/25Dunfermline0–1Ayr Utd2.41/3.10/3.04
29/03/25Ayr Utd3–0Dunfermline1.73/3.57/4.87
14/01/25Dunfermline0–2Ayr Utd3.40/2.67/2.47
23/11/24Ayr Utd1–0Dunfermline1.93/3.37/3.87
31/08/24Dunfermline1–1Ayr Utd4.06/3.56/1.86
30/12/23Ayr Utd2–2Dunfermline2.45/3.37/2.62
21/10/23Dunfermline0–1Ayr Utd1.87/3.50/3.84

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Dunfermline

W 237D 168L 190
Over 2.548
Goals scored849

Away Record: Ayr Utd

W 214D 192L 260
Over 2.548
Goals scored851

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026