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Ayr Utd vs Morton

Somerset Park, Ayr25 February 2020 at 19:45
12
Away

Morton

Referee: D. Lowe

Match Events

Ayr Utd
Morton
Kick Off
C. Malley

assist: A. Drinan

22′
29′
K. Orsi
Half Time
C. MalleyL. McCowan
58′
64′L. Strapp
G. GillespieM. Kerr
65′
D. Harvie68′
72′
N. Cadden

assist: L. Strapp

74′
K. OrsiR. McHugh
A. ForrestS. Tiffoney
80′
80′
C. BluesJ. McAlister
84′L. Colville
86′
A. NesbittC. McGuffie
Full Time

Match Summary

Morton defeated Ayr Utd 2:1. The match was played in Championship 2019. Goals were scored by C. Malley 22′, K. Orsi 29′, N. Cadden 72′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Ayr Utd made 3 substitutions, Morton made 3.

Rivalry since 2011

Ayr Utd vs Morton Head to Head Results

38 stretnutí
Ayr Utd
10
wins
Drawn
16
Morton
12
wins
Total goals
100 · 2.6/match
Both scored
26/38 · 68%
Over 2.5
18/38 · 47%

Recent Meetings

Highest-scoring game: 42 v 2019

Recent Form

Ayr Utd

LLLWLD

Morton

DLDLLW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Ayr Utd2wins
4draws10 meetings
Morton4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.1

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (52%) — the odds may underestimate Morton.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 55.7%Draw 27.1%Away 22.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.753.604.40
Max1.843.754.50
Over 2.5: 54.1%Under 2.5: 51.3%
Market favourite:Ayr Utd · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market52.3%26.0%21.8%
Public market53.9%25.1%21.0%
Δ1.6%0.8%0.8%

Ayr Utd vs Morton — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Morton
Result vs. Market: Ayr Utd (56%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Ayr UtdHalf-time:11Morton
8Shots8
4Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
21/03/26Ayr Utd0–1Morton1.75/3.30/4.33
27/12/25Morton1–1Ayr Utd2.90/3.10/2.30
18/10/25Ayr Utd2–1Morton1.75/3.46/4.39
23/08/25Morton2–2Ayr Utd3.36/3.12/2.15
08/03/25Morton2–1Ayr Utd4.13/3.23/1.91
28/12/24Ayr Utd0–0Morton1.55/3.89/5.63
08/11/24Morton1–1Ayr Utd3.97/3.15/1.96
28/09/24Ayr Utd1–0Morton1.63/3.75/4.85
28/10/23Ayr Utd0–1Morton1.96/3.47/3.57
05/08/23Morton3–1Ayr Utd2.43/3.26/2.71

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Ayr Utd

W 214D 192L 260
Over 2.548
Goals scored851

Away Record: Morton

W 276D 233L 338
Over 2.547
Goals scored1017

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026