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Dundee vs Ayr Utd

Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park, Dundee16 March 2021 at 19:00
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Dundee

13
Referee: A. Newlands

Match Events

Dundee
Ayr Utd
Kick Off
18′
M. McKenzie

assist: L. McCowan

C. Adam45′
Half Time
49′
C. Smith

assist: M. Miller

D. MullenD. McDaid
54′
P. McGowanO. Sow
54′
J. CummingsJ. Afolabi
63′
65′M. McKenzie
70′
C. SmithA. Murdoch
71′V. Sinisalo
78′
M. MillerM. Moffat
84′
M. McKenzie

assist: M. Moffat

86′
L. McCowanT. Walsh
O. Sow

assist: C. Adam

86′
90+2′C. Ndaba
Full Time

Match Summary

Ayr Utd defeated Dundee 3:1. The match was played in Championship 2020. Goals were scored by M. McKenzie 18′, C. Smith 49′, M. McKenzie 84′, O. Sow 86′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Dundee made 3 substitutions, Ayr Utd made 3.

Rivalry since 2011

Dundee vs Ayr Utd Head to Head Results

15 stretnutí
Dundee
9
wins
Drawn
2
Ayr Utd
4
wins
Total goals
43 · 2.9/match
Both scored
8/15 · 53%
Over 2.5
9/15 · 60%

Recent Form

Dundee

WLDLLD

Ayr Utd

LLLWLD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Dundee dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Dundee6wins
1draws10 meetings
Ayr Utd3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.6

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (75%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (58%) — the odds may underestimate Dundee.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 61.6%Draw 25.3%Away 19.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.573.604.75
Max1.654.205.50
Over 2.5: 55.6%Under 2.5: 50.0%
Market favourite:Dundee · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market58.4%23.8%17.8%
Public market60.3%22.5%17.2%
Δ1.9%1.3%0.6%

Dundee vs Ayr Utd — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Ayr Utd
Result vs. Market: Dundee (62%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

DundeeHalf-time:01Ayr Utd
10Shots9
4Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
21/03/23Dundee3–1Ayr Utd1.81/3.66/3.92
23/12/22Ayr Utd0–2Dundee2.95/3.41/2.28
15/10/22Dundee2–1Ayr Utd1.97/3.52/3.50
26/08/22Ayr Utd3–1Dundee2.50/3.22/2.72
06/04/21Ayr Utd0–3Dundee3.26/3.36/2.18
16/03/21Dundee1–3Ayr Utd1.62/3.95/5.22
21/11/20Ayr Utd2–0Dundee2.88/3.48/2.32
07/03/20Ayr Utd0–0Dundee2.46/3.31/2.89
25/10/19Ayr Utd1–2Dundee2.17/3.63/3.18
10/08/19Dundee1–0Ayr Utd2.02/3.44/3.74

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Dundee

W 239D 154L 129
Over 2.542
Goals scored755

Away Record: Ayr Utd

W 214D 192L 260
Over 2.548
Goals scored851

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026