QPR vs Middlesbrough

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Middlesbrough dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

QPR3wins

1draws10 meetings

Middlesbrough6wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.8

Average goals per game

80%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (36%) — the odds may underestimate Middlesbrough.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

37%

32%

36%

Home 37.2%Draw 31.7% ✓Away 35.9%

Odds Range

	1	X	2
Min	2.62	3.10	2.60
Max	2.74	3.20	2.89

Over 2.5: 45.5%Under 2.5: 60.2%

Market favourite:— · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

	1	X	2
Professional market	35.6%	30.7%	33.7%
Public market	36.6%	30.0%	33.4%
Δ	1.1%	0.8%	0.3%

QPR vs Middlesbrough — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

✗Draw

Result vs. Market: QPR (37%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

QPRHalf-time:1 – 1Middlesbrough

7Shots18

4Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Avg. odds
08/03/2625/26	QPR	0–4	Middlesbrough	3.75/3.40/1.96
13/12/2525/26	Middlesbrough	3–1	QPR	1.91/3.66/3.80
11/03/2524/25	Middlesbrough	2–1	QPR	1.90/3.41/4.26
05/11/2424/25	QPR	1–4	Middlesbrough	3.68/3.57/2.00
09/03/2423/24	QPR	0–2	Middlesbrough	2.36/3.45/2.98
02/09/2323/24	Middlesbrough	0–2	QPR	1.59/4.04/5.20
18/02/2322/23	Middlesbrough	3–1	QPR	1.59/4.04/5.70
06/08/2222/23	QPR	3–2	Middlesbrough	3.08/3.27/2.39
09/02/2221/22	QPR	2–2	Middlesbrough	2.69/3.16/2.79
18/08/2121/22	Middlesbrough	2–3	QPR	2.44/3.17/3.03

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: QPR

W 303D 232L 339

Over 2.549

Goals scored1055

Away Record: Middlesbrough

W 311D 182L 243

Over 2.547

Goals scored1001

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026

Championship · Season 2021

QPR

Middlesbrough

Match Summary