Menu

Luton vs Burnley

Kenilworth Road, Luton, Bedfordshire18 February 2023 at 15:00
Home

Luton

01
Referee: J. Simpson

Match Summary

Burnley defeated Luton 1:0. The match was played in Championship 2022.

Rivalry since 2022

Luton vs Burnley Head to Head Results

5 stretnutí
Luton
0
wins
Drawn
2
Burnley
3
wins
Total goals
16 · 3.2/match
Both scored
4/5 · 80%
Over 2.5
3/5 · 60%

Recent Form

Luton

WWWDWW

Burnley

DLLLLL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Burnley dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Luton0wins
2draws6 meetings
Burnley4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

33%

Games with 3+ goals

33%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (28%) — the odds may underestimate Burnley.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 29.7%Draw 30.8%Away 44.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.303.202.20
Max3.503.302.31
Over 2.5: 45.5%Under 2.5: 59.9%
Market favourite:Burnley · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market27.8%30.0%42.1%
Public market28.6%28.6%42.9%
Δ0.8%1.5%0.7%

Luton vs Burnley — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Burnley
Result vs. Market: Burnley (45%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

LutonHalf-time:00Burnley
7Shots9
2Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
31/03/07Burnley0–0Luton1.86/3.25/3.75
31/10/06Luton0–2Burnley2.26/3.16/2.88
08/03/25Burnley4–0Luton1.63/3.59/6.11
12/08/24Luton1–4Burnley2.40/3.40/2.92
18/02/23Luton0–1Burnley3.37/3.25/2.24
06/08/22Burnley1–1Luton1.77/3.70/4.59

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Luton

W 113D 79L 130
Over 2.547
Goals scored379

Away Record: Burnley

W 241D 164L 147
Over 2.544
Goals scored756

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026