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Dunfermline vs Raith Rovers

KDM Group East End Park, Dunfermline2 January 2024 at 15:00

Match Events

Dunfermline
Raith Rovers
Kick Off
11′
D. O'Reilly
A. Comrie14′
17′S. Byrne
S. FisherO. Moffat
23′
B. Summers

assist: J. Chalmers

38′
Half Time
51′
D. O'Reilly

assist: J. Mullin

69′
J. HamiltonJ. Gullan
R. Breen74′
R. BreenM. O'Halloran
74′
C. WightonT. Sutherland
81′
81′
D. EastonC. Smith
81′
S. BrownR. Matthews
89′
L. VaughanA. Connolly
E. Otoo90+1′
J. Chalmers90+3′
Full Time

Match Summary

Raith Rovers defeated Dunfermline 2:1. The match was played in Championship 2023. Goals were scored by D. O'Reilly 11′, B. Summers 38′, D. O'Reilly 51′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Dunfermline made 3 substitutions, Raith Rovers made 4.

Rivalry since 2010

Dunfermline vs Raith Rovers Head to Head Results

32 stretnutí
Dunfermline
13
wins
Drawn
8
Raith Rovers
11
wins
Total goals
75 · 2.3/match
Both scored
13/32 · 41%
Over 2.5
11/32 · 34%

Recent Meetings

Highest-scoring game: 51 v 2021

Recent Form

Dunfermline

WDWLDD

Raith Rovers

WLLWWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Dunfermline5wins
0draws10 meetings
Raith Rovers5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.2

Average goals per game

30%

Games with 3+ goals

20%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (29%) — the odds may underestimate Dunfermline.

Market Summary

Margin: 8.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 30.0%Draw 27.7%Away 50.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.253.401.91
Max3.403.822.06
Over 2.5: 54.6%Under 2.5: 49.3%
Market favourite:Raith Rovers · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market28.5%25.0%46.4%
Public market26.8%25.4%47.8%
Δ1.7%0.3%1.4%

Dunfermline vs Raith Rovers — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Raith Rovers
Result vs. Market: Raith Rovers (51%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

DunfermlineHalf-time:11Raith Rovers
8Shots11
4Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
14/03/26Dunfermline3–0Raith Rovers2.45/3.00/2.63
27/12/25Raith Rovers1–2Dunfermline1.95/3.20/3.60
17/10/25Dunfermline2–0Raith Rovers2.98/2.80/2.59
22/08/25Raith Rovers2–0Dunfermline1.96/3.29/3.90
14/03/25Raith Rovers2–0Dunfermline2.17/2.82/3.95
01/02/25Dunfermline3–1Raith Rovers2.56/3.07/2.78
14/12/24Raith Rovers2–0Dunfermline2.22/2.98/3.47
13/09/24Dunfermline2–0Raith Rovers2.84/3.08/2.51
28/10/23Raith Rovers1–0Dunfermline2.13/3.31/3.22
26/08/23Dunfermline0–1Raith Rovers2.21/3.27/3.15

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Dunfermline

W 237D 168L 190
Over 2.548
Goals scored849

Away Record: Raith Rovers

W 273D 207L 302
Over 2.547
Goals scored984

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026