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Southampton vs Middlesbrough

St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton, Hampshire29 March 2024 at 15:00

Match Summary

Southampton and Middlesbrough drew 1:1. The match was played in Championship 2023.

Rivalry since 2011

Southampton vs Middlesbrough Head to Head Results

8 stretnutí
Southampton
3
wins
Drawn
2
Middlesbrough
3
wins
Total goals
19 · 2.4/match
Both scored
4/8 · 50%
Over 2.5
5/8 · 63%

Recent Form

Southampton

WDLDWW

Middlesbrough

DWWDLD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Southampton1wins
2draws6 meetings
Middlesbrough3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.8

Average goals per game

67%

Games with 3+ goals

67%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (33%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (61%) — the odds may underestimate Middlesbrough.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 63.7%Draw 22.6%Away 19.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.574.205.00
Max1.574.605.46
Over 2.5: 67.6%Under 2.5: 38.5%
Market favourite:Southampton · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market61.4%21.0%17.7%
Public market60.7%21.2%18.1%

Southampton vs Middlesbrough — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Southampton (64%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

SouthamptonHalf-time:10Middlesbrough
13Shots8
5Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
29/10/11Southampton3–0Middlesbrough1.91/3.48/3.94
04/01/26Middlesbrough4–0Southampton2.12/3.63/3.17
27/09/25Southampton1–1Middlesbrough2.34/3.41/2.90
29/03/24Southampton1–1Middlesbrough1.57/4.43/5.24
23/09/23Middlesbrough2–1Southampton2.50/3.42/2.68
21/04/12Middlesbrough2–1Southampton3.06/3.33/2.29

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Southampton

W 131D 94L 97
Over 2.552
Goals scored482

Away Record: Middlesbrough

W 311D 182L 243
Over 2.547
Goals scored1001

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026