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Burnley vs Middlesbrough

Turf Moor, Burnley6 December 2024 at 20:00
Referee: A. Kitchen

Match Summary

Burnley and Middlesbrough drew 1:1. The match was played in Championship 2024.

Rivalry since 2011

Burnley vs Middlesbrough Head to Head Results

14 stretnutí
Burnley
5
wins
Drawn
4
Middlesbrough
5
wins
Total goals
25 · 1.8/match
Both scored
5/14 · 36%
Over 2.5
4/14 · 29%

Recent Form

Burnley

DLLLLL

Middlesbrough

DWWDLD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Burnley2wins
4draws10 meetings
Middlesbrough4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.9

Average goals per game

30%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (38%) — the odds may underestimate Middlesbrough.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 39.6%Draw 30.6%Away 34.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.453.202.90
Max2.603.303.01
Over 2.5: 47.6%Under 2.5: 57.8%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market38.4%29.4%32.2%
Public market38.7%28.7%32.7%

Burnley vs Middlesbrough — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Burnley (40%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BurnleyHalf-time:11Middlesbrough
15Shots10
4Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
29/12/24Middlesbrough0–0Burnley2.30/3.29/3.10
06/12/24Burnley1–1Middlesbrough2.52/3.26/2.94
07/04/23Middlesbrough1–2Burnley2.75/3.35/2.58
17/12/22Burnley3–1Middlesbrough2.09/3.41/3.61
15/12/15Middlesbrough1–0Burnley1.93/3.32/4.63
19/04/16Burnley1–1Middlesbrough2.84/3.12/2.76
26/12/13Middlesbrough1–0Burnley2.44/3.29/2.95
12/04/14Burnley0–1Middlesbrough1.91/3.47/4.54
21/08/12Middlesbrough3–2Burnley2.08/3.29/3.74
19/02/13Burnley0–0Middlesbrough2.07/3.50/3.74

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Burnley

W 241D 164L 147
Over 2.544
Goals scored756

Away Record: Middlesbrough

W 311D 182L 243
Over 2.547
Goals scored1001

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026