Menu

Bolton vs Birmingham

20 October 2015 at 20:00Macron Stadium, Bolton
Home

Bolton

01
Referee: Geoff Eltringham

Match Summary

Birmingham defeated Bolton 1:0. The match was played in Championship 2015.

Rivalry since 2010

Bolton vs Birmingham Head to Head Results· 15

Bolton and Birmingham have met 15 times — Bolton won 6, Birmingham won 6, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. A combined 33 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.20 per match (17 for the home side, 16 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (47%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (47%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–1 in 2025.

6
wins
Drawn
3
·
Total goals
33 · 2.2/match
Both scored
7/15 · 47%
Over 2.5
7/15 · 47%

Recent Meetings

04/03/25League One
Match Details
22/10/24League One
Match Details
12/02/19Championship
Match Details
22/08/18Championship
Match Details
03/04/18Championship
Match Details
15/08/17Championship
Match Details
23/02/16Championship
Match Details
02/05/15Championship
Match Details
18/10/14Championship
Match Details
03/05/14Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 31 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Bolton have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Birmingham show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Bolton

WWWLDD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Bolton4wins
2draws10 meetings
Birmingham4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.4

Average goals per game

20%

Games with 3+ goals

20%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (38%) — the odds may underestimate Birmingham.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 39.1%Draw 30.0%Away 34.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.503.202.90
Max2.603.402.94
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market38.0%28.8%33.2%
Public market37.6%28.7%33.7%

Bolton vs Birmingham — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Birmingham
Result vs. Market: Bolton (39%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BoltonHalf-time:01Birmingham
16Shots14
6Shots on target8

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

12 Feb 201918/191.48/4.19/8.23
22 Aug 201818/193.03/3.09/2.60
15/08/1717/181.92/3.38/4.61
4 Mar 201817/182.64/3.23/2.90
20/10/1515/162.56/3.33/2.91
23/02/1615/161.94/3.50/4.31
18/10/1414/152.28/3.38/3.32
5 Feb 201514/152.29/3.46/3.21
10 May 201313/142.44/3.43/2.99
5 Mar 201413/142.42/3.60/2.90

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Bolton

W 68D 79L 129
Over 2.548
Goals scored291

Away Record: Birmingham

W 247D 211L 278
Over 2.544
Goals scored869

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026