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Milton Keynes Dons vs Brentford

23 April 2016 at 15:00Stadium mk, Milton Keynes, Buckinghamshire
Referee: Andy Woolmer

Match Summary

Brentford defeated Milton Keynes Dons 4:1. The match was played in Championship 2015.

Rivalry since 2011

Milton Keynes Dons vs Brentford Head to Head Results· 7

Milton Keynes Dons and Brentford have met 7 times — Milton Keynes Dons won 1, Brentford won 4, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Brentford leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 7 meetings. A combined 26 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.71 per match (11 for the home side, 15 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (71%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 games (71%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Brentford are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2011.

Drawn
2
·
Total goals
26 · 3.7/match
Both scored
5/7 · 71%
Over 2.5
5/7 · 71%

Recent Meetings

05/12/15Championship
Match Details
21/04/14League One
Match Details
29/12/13League One
Match Details
01/04/13League One
Match Details
08/12/12League One
Match Details
31/03/12League One
Match Details
31/12/11League One
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 33 v 2011

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Milton Keynes Dons have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats. Brentford show 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.5

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Brentford dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
0
2 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (36%) — the odds may underestimate Brentford.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

12 May 201515/161.83/3.71/4.53
23/04/1615/162.77/3.37/2.64

Market Summary

Margin: 3.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 36.1%Draw 29.7%Away 37.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.723.102.60
Max2.803.512.69
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market35.9%27.8%36.3%
Public market34.8%27.8%37.4%
Δ1.1%1.1%

Milton Keynes Dons vs Brentford — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Brentford
Result vs. Market: Brentford (38%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Milton Keynes DonsHalf-time:11Brentford
9Shots18
4Shots on target6

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Milton Keynes Dons

W 9D 12L 25
Over 2.544
Goals scored39

Away Record: Brentford

W 143D 79L 100
Over 2.553
Goals scored519

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026