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Millwall vs Nottingham Forest

29 December 2018 at 15:00The Den, London
Referee: Tony Harrington

Match Summary

Millwall defeated Nottingham Forest 1:0. The match was played in Championship 2018.

Rivalry since 2011

Millwall vs Nottingham Forest Head to Head Results· 19

Millwall and Nottingham Forest have met 19 times — Millwall won 6, Nottingham Forest won 7, with 6 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Nottingham Forest leads the head-to-head with 7 victories from 19 meetings. A combined 49 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.58 per match (26 for the home side, 23 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 11 matches (58%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 games (53%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Nottingham Forest are currently unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–4 in 2012.

Drawn
6
·
Total goals
49 · 2.6/match
Both scored
11/19 · 58%
Over 2.5
10/19 · 53%

Recent Meetings

23/07/24Friendlies Clubs
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15/01/22Championship
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25/09/21Championship
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16/01/21Championship
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19/12/20Championship
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06/03/20Championship
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06/12/19Championship
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03/10/18Championship
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30/03/18Championship
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04/08/17Championship
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Highest-scoring game: 14 v 2012

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Millwall have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Nottingham Forest show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Millwall3wins
4draws10 meetings
Nottingham Forest3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.4

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Market Summary

Margin: 4.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 38.4%Draw 31.1%Away 35.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.503.202.80
Max2.703.252.91
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market36.1%30.4%33.5%
Public market37.6%28.9%33.5%
Δ1.4%1.5%

Millwall vs Nottingham Forest — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Millwall
Result vs. Market: Millwall (38%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

MillwallHalf-time:10Nottingham Forest
10Shots9
1Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

15 Jan 202221/222.36/3.17/3.24
25 Sept 202121/222.49/3.07/3.15
16 Jan 202120/212.40/3.00/3.38
19 Dec 202020/212.33/3.13/3.39
6 Mar 202019/202.27/3.15/3.48
6 Dec 201919/202.55/3.17/2.97
29 Dec 201818/192.61/3.22/2.84
3 Oct 201818/191.93/3.56/4.22
8 Apr 201717/182.02/3.46/3.92
30/03/1817/181.89/3.41/4.62

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Millwall

W 250D 216L 270
Over 2.541
Goals scored816

Away Record: Nottingham Forest

W 238D 205L 247
Over 2.545
Goals scored860

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026