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Middlesbrough vs Derby

11 January 2020 at 15:00Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
22
Away

Derby

Referee: T. Robinson

Match Summary

Middlesbrough and Derby drew 2:2. The match was played in Championship 2019.

Rivalry since 2011

Middlesbrough vs Derby Head to Head Results· 23

Middlesbrough and Derby have met 23 times — Middlesbrough won 11, Derby won 7, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Middlesbrough leads the head-to-head with 11 victories from 23 meetings. A combined 51 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.22 per match (29 for the home side, 22 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 10 matches (43%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 games (39%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–1 in 2022.

Drawn
5
·
7
wins
Total goals
51 · 2.2/match
Both scored
10/23 · 43%
Over 2.5
9/23 · 39%

Recent Meetings

01/01/26Championship
Match Details
29/11/25Championship
Match Details
01/03/25Championship
Match Details
17/08/24Championship
Match Details
12/02/22Championship
Match Details
21/08/21Championship
Match Details
13/02/21Championship
Match Details
25/11/20Championship
Match Details
02/11/19Championship
Match Details
01/01/19Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 41 v 2022

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Middlesbrough have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Derby show 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Derby

LWLWLW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Middlesbrough4wins
2draws10 meetings
Derby4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (45%) — the odds may underestimate Middlesbrough.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 47.2%Draw 30.0%Away 27.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.103.303.65
Max2.153.403.75
Over 2.5: 50.0%Under 2.5: 55.6%
Market favourite:Middlesbrough · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market45.0%28.5%26.5%
Public market45.5%29.0%25.5%
Δ0.5%0.5%1.0%

Middlesbrough vs Derby — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Middlesbrough (47%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

MiddlesbroughHalf-time:10Derby
15Shots7
5Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

1 Jan 202625/263.09/3.29/2.29
29 Nov 202525/261.73/3.59/4.96
1 Mar 202524/251.66/3.80/5.14
17 Aug 202424/253.50/3.54/2.03
12 Feb 202221/221.62/3.76/5.85
21 Aug 202121/223.07/3.14/2.47
13 Feb 202120/212.73/3.07/2.83
25 Nov 202020/211.94/3.27/4.44
11 Jan 202019/202.12/3.33/3.70
2 Nov 201919/202.22/3.33/3.41

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Middlesbrough

W 311D 182L 243
Over 2.547
Goals scored1001

Away Record: Derby

W 333D 233L 308
Over 2.548
Goals scored1153

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026