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Birmingham vs Nottingham Forest

1 February 2020 at 15:00St Andrew's Trillion Trophy Stadium, Birmingham

Match Summary

Birmingham defeated Nottingham Forest 2:1. The match was played in Championship 2019.

Rivalry since 2011

Birmingham vs Nottingham Forest Head to Head Results· 22

Birmingham and Nottingham Forest have met 22 times — Birmingham won 7, Nottingham Forest won 8, with 7 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Nottingham Forest leads the head-to-head with 8 victories from 22 meetings. A combined 50 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.27 per match (23 for the home side, 27 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 11 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 games (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–2 in 2018.

Drawn
7
·
Total goals
50 · 2.3/match
Both scored
11/22 · 50%
Over 2.5
11/22 · 50%

Recent Meetings

02/08/25Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
09/04/22Championship
Match Details
02/10/21Championship
Match Details
21/04/21Championship
Match Details
26/12/20Championship
Match Details
17/08/19Championship
Match Details
02/02/19Championship
Match Details
25/08/18Championship
Match Details
03/03/18Championship
Match Details
18/11/17Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 22 v 2018

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Birmingham have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Nottingham Forest show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Birmingham3wins
3draws10 meetings
Nottingham Forest4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (37%) — the odds may underestimate Birmingham.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 38.5%Draw 30.7%Away 35.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.553.232.80
Max2.653.302.89
Over 2.5: 47.6%Under 2.5: 58.1%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market36.5%30.0%33.5%
Public market37.3%28.8%33.9%
Δ0.7%1.2%0.4%

Birmingham vs Nottingham Forest — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Birmingham
Result vs. Market: Birmingham (38%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BirminghamHalf-time:11Nottingham Forest
13Shots12
4Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

9 Apr 202221/221.58/3.95/6.19
2 Oct 202121/222.19/3.15/3.62
21 Apr 202120/212.53/3.09/3.07
26 Dec 202020/212.28/3.12/3.40
1 Feb 202019/202.60/3.26/2.83
17 Aug 201919/201.97/3.36/4.01
2 Feb 201918/192.30/3.23/3.46
25 Aug 201818/191.88/3.50/4.61
18/11/1717/182.53/3.42/2.86
3 Mar 201817/181.97/3.30/4.45

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Birmingham

W 247D 211L 278
Over 2.544
Goals scored869

Away Record: Nottingham Forest

W 238D 205L 247
Over 2.545
Goals scored860

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026