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Stoke City vs Watford

19 August 2023 at 15:00bet365 Stadium, Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire
10
Referee: J. Bell

Match Summary

Stoke City defeated Watford 1:0. The match was played in Championship 2023.

Rivalry since 2015

Stoke City vs Watford Head to Head Results· 16

Stoke City and Watford have met 16 times — Stoke City won 6, Watford won 7, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2015. Watford leads the head-to-head with 7 victories from 16 meetings. A combined 37 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.31 per match (16 for the home side, 21 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 6 matches (38%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (44%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2020.

Drawn
3
·
7
wins
Total goals
37 · 2.3/match
Both scored
6/16 · 38%
Over 2.5
7/16 · 44%

Recent Meetings

14/03/26Championship
Match Details
20/12/25Championship
Match Details
01/03/25Championship
Match Details
17/08/24Championship
Match Details
29/12/23Championship
Match Details
08/05/23Championship
Match Details
02/10/22Championship
Match Details
21/09/21League Cup
Match Details
22/01/21Championship
Match Details
04/11/20Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 32 v 2020

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Stoke City have recorded 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats. Watford show 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from their last 6 outings.

Watford

LLLLLD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Watford dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
2
10 meetings
6
wins

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

14 Mar 202625/262.57/3.30/2.55
Match Details
20 Dec 202525/262.06/3.33/3.33
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1 Mar 202524/252.46/3.34/2.89
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17 Aug 202424/252.64/3.24/2.74
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29 Dec 202323/242.15/3.35/3.44
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19 Aug 202323/242.22/3.31/3.20
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8 May 202322/232.35/3.39/2.97
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2 Oct 202222/232.50/3.26/2.93
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22 Jan 202120/213.41/3.08/2.33
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4 Nov 202020/212.20/3.07/3.74
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 6.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 45.1%Draw 30.2%Away 31.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.153.103.00
Max2.253.533.34
Over 2.5: 49.3%Under 2.5: 54.6%
Market favourite:Stoke City · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market43.3%27.6%29.1%
Public market42.1%28.7%29.2%
Δ1.1%1.1%

Stoke City vs Watford — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Stoke City
Result vs. Market: Stoke City (45%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Stoke CityHalf-time:00Watford
13Shots10
2Shots on target3

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Stoke City

W 189D 152L 211
Over 2.542
Goals scored635

Away Record: Watford

W 265D 195L 230
Over 2.553
Goals scored989

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026