Championship· Season 2025
Match Summary
Hull City defeated Stoke City 2:1. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by S. Thomas 17′, S. Ajayi 48′, J. Gelhardt 90′. 6 yellow cards were shown. Stoke City had 56% possession while Hull City held 44%. Stoke City had 12 shots (7 on target) compared to 11 (6 on target) for Hull City. Expected goals: Stoke City 0.80 — Hull City 1.18. Stoke City made 3 substitutions, Hull City made 5.
Match Events
Key match events between Stoke City and Hull City — 3 goals and 6 cards recorded during the match.
assist: M. Belloumi
assist: M. Belloumi
Match Statistics
Stoke City had 56% possession against Hull City's 44%. Stoke City registered 12 shots (7 on target) while Hull City managed 11 (6 on target). Corner kicks: 7–8. Fouls committed: 12–15.
Rivalry since 2013
Stoke City vs Hull City Head to Head Results· 20
Stoke City and Hull City have met 20 times — Stoke City won 12, Hull City won 5, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2013. Stoke City leads the head-to-head with 12 victories from 20 meetings. A combined 47 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.35 per match (31 for the home side, 16 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 8 matches (40%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 games (40%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–1 in 2020.
Recent Meetings
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Stoke City have recorded 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats. Hull City show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.4
Average goals per game
50%
Games with 3+ goals
40%
Both teams scored
Head-to-Head Record
Stoke City dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (56%) — the odds may underestimate Hull City.
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
Market Summary
Margin: 6.8%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.62 | 3.78 | 5.00 |
| Max | 1.69 | 3.80 | 5.00 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 56.0% | 25.0% | 18.9% |
| Public market | 57.1% | 24.4% | 18.5% |
| Δ | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
Stoke City vs Hull City — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Stoke City
Away Record: Hull City
Data: football-data.co.uk
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
API data: 12 May 2026