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Swindon Town vs Bury

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League One · Season 2016

County Ground, Swindon17 September 2016 at 15:00
Home

Swindon Town

1–2
Away

Bury

Referee: Charles Breakspear

Match Summary

Bury defeated Swindon Town 2:1. The match was played in League One 2016.

Rivalry since 2012

Swindon Town vs Bury Head to Head Results

7 stretnutí
Swindon Town
2
wins
Drawn
1
Bury
4
wins
Total goals
15 · 2.1/match
Both scored
3/7 · 43%
Over 2.5
3/7 · 43%

Recent Meetings

30/03/19Bury
1–3Swindon TownLeague Two
15/09/18Swindon Town
1–2BuryLeague Two
11/02/17Bury
1–0Swindon TownLeague One
16/04/16Swindon Town
0–1BuryLeague One
15/08/15Bury
2–2Swindon TownLeague One
26/02/13Swindon Town
0–1BuryLeague One
06/10/12Bury
0–1Swindon TownLeague One
Highest-scoring game: 1–3 v 2019All 7 meetings

Recent Form

Swindon Town

LLDLWD

Bury

WWWDWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Bury dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Swindon Town1wins
1draws6 meetings
Bury4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.8

Average goals per game

33%

Games with 3+ goals

33%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (35%) — the odds may underestimate Bury.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 36.4%Draw 30.1%Away 37.4% ✓

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.703.102.63
Max2.803.472.70
Market favourite:— · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market34.8%28.1%37.1%
Public market35.4%28.6%36.0%
Δ0.5%0.5%1.1%

Swindon Town vs Bury — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

✓Bury
Result vs. Market: Bury (37%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Swindon TownHalf-time:0 – 2Bury
10Shots7
3Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
17/09/16Swindon Town1–2Bury2.75/3.32/2.68
11/02/17Bury1–0Swindon Town2.22/3.52/3.32
15/08/15Bury2–2Swindon Town2.35/3.39/3.15
16/04/16Swindon Town0–1Bury2.79/3.35/2.63
06/10/12Bury0–1Swindon Town3.88/3.35/2.02
26/02/13Swindon Town0–1Bury1.52/4.25/6.86

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Swindon Town

W 189D 146L 217
Over 2.555
Goals scored740

Away Record: Bury

W 61D 60L 109
Over 2.553
Goals scored263

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026