Menu

Port Vale vs Millwall

Vale Park, Stoke27 September 2016 at 19:45
31
Referee: Jeremy Simpson

Match Summary

Port Vale defeated Millwall 3:1. The match was played in League One 2016.

Rivalry since 2015

Port Vale vs Millwall Head to Head Results

3 stretnutí
Port Vale
0
wins
Drawn
0
Millwall
3
wins
Total goals
8 · 2.7/match
Both scored
1/3 · 33%
Over 2.5
1/3 · 33%

Recent Form

Port Vale

LWLLDW

Millwall

LDWDWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Port Vale3wins
1draws8 meetings
Millwall4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.9

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (75%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (28%) — the odds may underestimate Port Vale.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 29.9%Draw 28.6%Away 45.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.303.302.20
Max3.443.602.25
Market favourite:Millwall · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market28.4%27.3%44.4%
Public market29.6%27.1%43.3%
Δ1.2%0.2%1.0%

Port Vale vs Millwall — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Port Vale
Result vs. Market: Millwall (45%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Port ValeHalf-time:10Millwall
8Shots11
4Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
27/09/16Port Vale3–1Millwall3.35/3.49/2.22
14/02/17Millwall2–0Port Vale1.49/4.44/7.21
15/09/15Port Vale0–2Millwall2.31/3.38/3.26
17/01/16Millwall3–1Port Vale1.88/3.54/4.49
28/10/06Millwall1–1Port Vale2.20/3.20/2.90
24/03/07Port Vale2–0Millwall2.17/3.21/2.96
23/02/08Millwall3–0Port Vale1.79/3.36/4.01
12/01/08Port Vale3–1Millwall2.49/3.25/2.52

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Port Vale

W 156D 107L 243
Over 2.549
Goals scored549

Away Record: Millwall

W 126D 61L 89
Over 2.548
Goals scored382

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026