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Burton Albion vs Aston Villa

Pirelli Stadium, Burton upon Trent26 September 2017 at 19:45
Referee: Jonathan Moss

Match Summary

Aston Villa defeated Burton Albion 4:0. The match was played in Championship 2017.

Rivalry since 2016

Burton Albion vs Aston Villa Head to Head Results

5 stretnutí
Burton Albion
1
wins
Drawn
1
Aston Villa
3
wins
Total goals
15 · 3.0/match
Both scored
4/5 · 80%
Over 2.5
3/5 · 60%

Recent Form

Burton Albion

DDDWDD

Aston Villa

DWLLLW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Aston Villa dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Burton Albion0wins
1draws4 meetings
Aston Villa3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.5

Average goals per game

75%

Games with 3+ goals

75%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (23%) — the odds may underestimate Aston Villa.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 23.3%Draw 28.7%Away 51.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min4.203.401.91
Max4.333.551.95
Market favourite:Aston Villa · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market22.6%27.5%50.0%
Public market22.4%27.8%49.8%

Burton Albion vs Aston Villa — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Aston Villa
Result vs. Market: Aston Villa (52%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Burton AlbionHalf-time:03Aston Villa
10Shots10
2Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
26/09/17Burton Albion0–4Aston Villa4.28/3.48/1.94
03/02/18Aston Villa3–2Burton Albion1.39/4.53/9.99
26/12/16Aston Villa2–1Burton Albion1.63/3.80/5.91
08/04/17Burton Albion1–1Aston Villa3.34/3.26/2.33

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Burton Albion

W 23D 24L 45
Over 2.547
Goals scored87

Away Record: Aston Villa

W 60D 41L 37
Over 2.546
Goals scored201

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026