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Bolton vs Burton Albion

University of Bolton Stadium, Bolton1 January 2020 at 15:00
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Bolton

34
Referee: S. Oldham

Match Summary

Burton Albion defeated Bolton 4:3. The match was played in League One 2019.

Rivalry since 2015

Bolton vs Burton Albion Head to Head Results

14 stretnutí
Bolton
5
wins
Drawn
4
Burton Albion
5
wins
Total goals
32 · 2.3/match
Both scored
8/14 · 57%
Over 2.5
7/14 · 50%

Recent Form

Bolton

WLDDWL

Burton Albion

DDDWDD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Bolton5wins
3draws10 meetings
Burton Albion2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.4

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (26%) — the odds may underestimate Bolton.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 27.3%Draw 28.8%Away 49.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.603.432.00
Max3.773.502.07
Over 2.5: 50.0%Under 2.5: 55.6%
Market favourite:Burton Albion · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market25.5%28.0%46.5%
Public market26.1%26.9%47.0%
Δ0.6%1.2%0.6%

Bolton vs Burton Albion — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Burton Albion
Result vs. Market: Burton Albion (49%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BoltonHalf-time:23Burton Albion
9Shots18
4Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
27/01/26Bolton2–1Burton Albion1.42/4.00/7.00
11/10/25Burton Albion3–0Bolton4.37/4.01/1.67
08/03/25Burton Albion1–2Bolton3.66/3.56/1.98
19/10/24Bolton2–1Burton Albion1.39/4.80/7.59
01/01/24Bolton1–0Burton Albion1.35/4.85/8.67
26/08/23Burton Albion1–1Bolton3.78/3.50/1.93
18/04/23Burton Albion1–1Bolton3.37/3.42/2.15
25/10/22Bolton2–1Burton Albion1.70/3.80/4.88
15/02/22Burton Albion3–1Bolton2.63/3.43/2.62
06/09/21Bolton0–0Burton Albion2.12/3.44/3.30

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Bolton

W 138D 82L 90
Over 2.547
Goals scored454

Away Record: Burton Albion

W 134D 107L 162
Over 2.550
Goals scored480

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026