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Port Vale vs Carlisle

Vale Park, Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire10 October 2020 at 15:00
01
Referee: J. Bell

Match Summary

Carlisle defeated Port Vale 1:0. The match was played in League Two 2020.

Rivalry since 2013

Port Vale vs Carlisle Head to Head Results

16 stretnutí
Port Vale
7
wins
Drawn
3
Carlisle
6
wins
Total goals
34 · 2.1/match
Both scored
9/16 · 56%
Over 2.5
9/16 · 56%

Recent Form

Port Vale

LWLLDW

Carlisle

LWWWDD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Port Vale3wins
3draws10 meetings
Carlisle4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (45%) — the odds may underestimate Carlisle.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 47.5%Draw 29.2%Away 28.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.053.253.49
Max2.163.513.50
Over 2.5: 47.6%Under 2.5: 58.8%
Market favourite:Port Vale · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market44.8%27.5%27.7%
Public market45.5%27.3%27.3%

Port Vale vs Carlisle — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Carlisle
Result vs. Market: Port Vale (48%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Port ValeHalf-time:00Carlisle
8Shots16
1Shots on target6

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
18/04/25Carlisle3–2Port Vale3.42/3.31/2.10
21/12/24Port Vale0–0Carlisle1.74/3.61/4.63
08/02/22Carlisle1–3Port Vale3.10/3.11/2.47
17/08/21Port Vale0–0Carlisle2.41/3.23/2.98
17/04/21Carlisle0–0Port Vale2.28/3.23/3.28
10/10/20Port Vale0–1Carlisle2.10/3.42/3.50
16/11/19Port Vale2–1Carlisle1.90/3.51/4.35
26/01/19Port Vale0–1Carlisle2.89/3.29/2.54
21/08/18Carlisle2–1Port Vale2.14/3.33/3.68
16/12/17Carlisle1–2Port Vale2.47/3.43/2.92

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Port Vale

W 186D 141L 170
Over 2.546
Goals scored641

Away Record: Carlisle

W 183D 139L 175
Over 2.549
Goals scored653

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026