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Crawley Town vs Carlisle

The People's Pension Stadium, Crawley, West Sussex11 September 2021 at 15:00
Referee: T. Reeves

Match Summary

Crawley Town defeated Carlisle 2:1. The match was played in League Two 2021.

Rivalry since 2012

Crawley Town vs Carlisle Head to Head Results

19 stretnutí
Crawley Town
1
wins
Drawn
7
Carlisle
11
wins
Total goals
55 · 2.9/match
Both scored
11/19 · 58%
Over 2.5
9/19 · 47%

Recent Form

Crawley Town

DDDLLW

Carlisle

LWWWDD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Carlisle dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Crawley Town1wins
2draws10 meetings
Carlisle7wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.2

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (35%) — the odds may underestimate Carlisle.

Market Summary

Margin: 7.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 37.4%Draw 30.2%Away 39.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.553.102.45
Max2.783.432.58
Over 2.5: 48.8%Under 2.5: 57.1%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market34.6%28.1%37.3%
Public market35.8%26.9%37.3%
Δ1.2%1.2%

Crawley Town vs Carlisle — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Crawley Town
Result vs. Market: Carlisle (40%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Crawley TownHalf-time:10Carlisle
12Shots11
5Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
25/02/23Crawley Town2–5Carlisle3.93/3.31/2.01
30/07/22Carlisle1–0Crawley Town2.44/3.24/2.97
15/01/22Carlisle1–1Crawley Town2.12/3.43/3.40
11/09/21Crawley Town2–1Carlisle2.68/3.31/2.51
30/03/21Carlisle2–0Crawley Town2.13/3.37/3.45
21/11/20Crawley Town0–3Carlisle2.75/3.43/2.49
15/02/20Crawley Town0–0Carlisle2.22/3.63/3.07
03/08/19Carlisle2–1Crawley Town2.09/3.46/3.63
27/04/19Carlisle4–2Crawley Town1.59/3.83/5.75
22/12/18Crawley Town2–3Carlisle3.32/3.53/2.20

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Crawley Town

W 164D 128L 205
Over 2.553
Goals scored611

Away Record: Carlisle

W 183D 139L 175
Over 2.549
Goals scored653

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026