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Aston Villa vs Burnley

Villa Park, Birmingham30 December 2023 at 15:00
32
Referee: S. Attwell

Match Summary

Aston Villa defeated Burnley 3:2. The match was played in Premier League 2023.

Rivalry since 2014

Aston Villa vs Burnley Head to Head Results

11 stretnutí
Aston Villa
4
wins
Drawn
5
Burnley
2
wins
Total goals
32 · 2.9/match
Both scored
9/11 · 82%
Over 2.5
7/11 · 64%

Recent Form

Aston Villa

DWLLLW

Burnley

DLLLLL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Aston Villa5wins
4draws10 meetings
Burnley1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.4

Average goals per game

80%

Games with 3+ goals

90%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (70%) — the odds may underestimate Burnley.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 73.7%Draw 19.3%Away 12.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.335.007.50
Max1.385.298.10
Over 2.5: 63.7%Under 2.5: 42.6%
Market favourite:Aston Villa · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market69.9%18.2%11.9%
Public market69.4%18.0%12.6%

Aston Villa vs Burnley — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Aston Villa
Result vs. Market: Aston Villa (74%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Aston VillaHalf-time:21Burnley
19Shots9
7Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
10/05/26Burnley2–2Aston Villa5.00/4.33/1.60
05/10/25Aston Villa2–1Burnley1.60/4.00/5.98
30/12/23Aston Villa3–2Burnley1.36/5.18/7.87
27/08/23Burnley1–3Aston Villa3.33/3.43/2.11
19/05/22Aston Villa1–1Burnley2.04/3.50/3.68
07/05/22Burnley1–3Aston Villa2.99/3.31/2.44
27/01/21Burnley3–2Aston Villa3.90/3.52/1.98
17/12/20Aston Villa0–0Burnley1.75/3.83/4.75
01/01/20Burnley1–2Aston Villa1.79/3.83/4.38
28/09/19Aston Villa2–2Burnley2.35/3.38/3.12

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Aston Villa

W 407D 317L 422
Over 2.549
Goals scored1443

Away Record: Burnley

W 92D 94L 192
Over 2.548
Goals scored378

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026