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Millwall vs Port Vale

17 January 2016 at 15:00The Den, London
31
Referee: Andy Davies

Match Summary

Millwall defeated Port Vale 3:1. The match was played in League One 2015.

Rivalry since 2015

Millwall vs Port Vale Head to Head Results· 3

Millwall and Port Vale have met 3 times — Millwall won 2, Port Vale won 1, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2015. Millwall leads the head-to-head with 2 victories from 3 meetings. A combined 8 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.67 per match (5 for the home side, 3 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 match (33%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 game (33%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–1 in 2016.

Drawn
0
·
Total goals
8 · 2.7/match
Both scored
1/3 · 33%
Over 2.5
1/3 · 33%

Recent Meetings

14/02/17League One
Match Details
27/09/16League One
Match Details
15/09/15League One
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 31 v 2016

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Millwall have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Port Vale show 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Millwall

LDWDWW

Port Vale

LWLLDW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.9

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
1
8 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (75%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (51%) — the odds may underestimate Millwall.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

27/09/1616/173.35/3.49/2.22
14/02/1716/171.49/4.44/7.21
15/09/1515/162.31/3.38/3.26
17/01/1615/161.88/3.54/4.49
28/10/0606/072.20/3.20/2.90
24/03/0706/072.17/3.21/2.96
23/02/0807/081.79/3.36/4.01
1 Dec 200807/082.49/3.25/2.52

Market Summary

Margin: 3.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 53.3%Draw 28.3%Away 22.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.803.504.46
Max1.923.604.50
Market favourite:Millwall · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market50.6%27.7%21.8%
Public market51.2%27.1%21.7%

Millwall vs Port Vale — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Millwall
Result vs. Market: Millwall (53%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

MillwallHalf-time:30Port Vale
11Shots8
4Shots on target5

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Millwall

W 126D 61L 89
Over 2.548
Goals scored382

Away Record: Port Vale

W 156D 107L 243
Over 2.549
Goals scored549

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026