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Lincoln vs Milton Keynes Dons

11 February 2020 at 19:45Sincil Bank, Lincoln, Lincolnshire
Referee: J. Busby

Match Summary

Lincoln and Milton Keynes Dons drew 1:1. The match was played in League One 2019.

Rivalry since 2018

Lincoln vs Milton Keynes Dons Head to Head Results· 9

Lincoln and Milton Keynes Dons have met 9 times — Lincoln won 4, Milton Keynes Dons won 3, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2018. Lincoln leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 9 meetings. A combined 25 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.78 per match (15 for the home side, 10 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 6 matches (67%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 games (67%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Milton Keynes Dons are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–3 in 2021.

4
wins
Drawn
2
·
Total goals
25 · 2.8/match
Both scored
6/9 · 67%
Over 2.5
6/9 · 67%

Recent Meetings

28/02/23League One
Match Details
14/01/23League One
Match Details
05/02/22League One
Match Details
26/12/21League One
Match Details
13/04/21League One
Match Details
19/09/20League One
Match Details
20/08/19League One
Match Details
06/04/19League Two
Match Details
22/09/18League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 23 v 2021

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Lincoln have recorded 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats. Milton Keynes Dons show 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.8

Average goals per game

63%

Games with 3+ goals

75%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

2
wins
draws
3
8 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (25%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (41%) — the odds may underestimate Milton Keynes Dons.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

28 Feb 202322/232.24/3.15/3.44
Match Details
14 Jan 202322/232.02/3.30/3.90
Match Details
5 Feb 202221/221.89/3.51/4.07
Match Details
26 Dec 202121/222.89/3.48/2.35
Match Details
13 Apr 202120/212.35/3.42/3.01
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19 Sept 202020/212.68/3.28/2.67
Match Details
11 Feb 202019/202.34/3.26/3.14
Match Details
20 Aug 201919/202.69/3.53/2.60
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 5.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 42.7%Draw 30.7%Away 31.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.303.253.10
Max2.373.273.21
Over 2.5: 45.5%Under 2.5: 60.6%
Market favourite:Lincoln · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market40.6%29.4%30.0%
Public market40.8%28.9%30.3%

Lincoln vs Milton Keynes Dons — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Lincoln (43%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

LincolnHalf-time:11Milton Keynes Dons
9Shots10
3Shots on target3

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Lincoln

W 129D 84L 98
Over 2.545
Goals scored433

Away Record: Milton Keynes Dons

W 267D 167L 245
Over 2.549
Goals scored944

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026