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Northampton vs Burton Albion

13 February 2021 at 15:00PTS Academy Stadium, Northampton, East Midlands
Referee: S. Oldham

Match Summary

Burton Albion defeated Northampton 2:0. The match was played in League One 2020.

Rivalry since 2011

Northampton vs Burton Albion Head to Head Results· 17

Northampton and Burton Albion have met 17 times — Northampton won 8, Burton Albion won 7, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Northampton leads the head-to-head with 8 victories from 17 meetings. A combined 52 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.06 per match (25 for the home side, 27 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 8 matches (47%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 games (47%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–5 in 2024.

Drawn
2
·
Total goals
52 · 3.1/match
Both scored
8/17 · 47%
Over 2.5
8/17 · 47%

Recent Meetings

14/03/26League One
Match Details
26/12/25League One
Match Details
04/01/25League One
Match Details
12/11/24EFL Trophy
Match Details
31/08/24League One
Match Details
24/02/24League One
Match Details
11/11/23League One
Match Details
21/11/20League One
Match Details
05/01/20FA Cup
Match Details
25/04/15League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 25 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Northampton have recorded 0 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats. Burton Albion show 1 win, 5 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Northampton4wins
1draws8 meetings
Burton Albion3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.4

Average goals per game

25%

Games with 3+ goals

25%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (25%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (37%) — the odds may underestimate Burton Albion.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 39.6%Draw 29.7%Away 36.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.503.202.75
Max2.573.502.81
Over 2.5: 50.0%Under 2.5: 55.6%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market37.5%28.2%34.3%
Public market38.1%27.2%34.7%
Δ0.6%1.0%0.4%

Northampton vs Burton Albion — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Burton Albion
Result vs. Market: Northampton (40%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

NorthamptonHalf-time:00Burton Albion
11Shots8
2Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

14 Mar 202625/262.65/3.25/2.55
26 Dec 202525/262.20/3.05/3.25
4 Jan 202524/252.17/3.27/3.42
31 Aug 202424/252.24/3.44/3.16
24 Feb 202423/242.59/3.29/2.72
11 Nov 202323/242.20/3.33/3.30
13 Feb 202120/212.52/3.37/2.77
21 Nov 202020/212.30/3.50/3.01

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Northampton

W 119D 108L 187
Over 2.548
Goals scored457

Away Record: Burton Albion

W 134D 107L 162
Over 2.550
Goals scored480

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026