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Forest Green vs Exeter City

24 September 2022 at 12:30The Bolt New Lawn, Nailsworth, Gloucestershire
Referee: B. Speedie

Match Summary

Exeter City defeated Forest Green 4:0. The match was played in League One 2022.

Rivalry since 2017

Forest Green vs Exeter City Head to Head Results· 14

Forest Green and Exeter City have met 14 times — Forest Green won 2, Exeter City won 5, with 7 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2017. Exeter City leads the head-to-head with 5 victories from 14 meetings. A combined 31 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.21 per match (14 for the home side, 17 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 games (36%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Forest Green are currently unbeaten in the last 6 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2017.

Drawn
7
·
Total goals
31 · 2.2/match
Both scored
7/14 · 50%
Over 2.5
5/14 · 36%

Recent Meetings

14/01/23League One
Match Details
18/10/22EFL Trophy
Match Details
04/01/22League Two
Match Details
04/09/21League Two
Match Details
20/04/21League Two
Match Details
26/12/20League Two
Match Details
08/09/20EFL Trophy
Match Details
01/01/20League Two
Match Details
12/10/19League Two
Match Details
04/05/19League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 33 v 2017

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Forest Green have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Exeter City show 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Forest Green0wins
1draws2 meetings
Exeter City1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (30%) — the odds may underestimate Exeter City.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 30.7%Draw 29.9%Away 44.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.103.252.20
Max3.403.492.30
Over 2.5: 50.0%Under 2.5: 54.1%
Market favourite:Exeter City · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market29.7%27.7%42.6%
Public market28.0%28.8%43.2%
Δ1.7%1.1%0.6%

Forest Green vs Exeter City — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Exeter City
Result vs. Market: Exeter City (44%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Forest GreenHalf-time:03Exeter City
8Shots13
3Shots on target6

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

14 Jan 202322/231.70/3.87/4.83
24 Sept 202222/233.25/3.35/2.26

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Forest Green

W 6D 9L 31
Over 2.548
Goals scored31

Away Record: Exeter City

W 100D 85L 137
Over 2.548
Goals scored371

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026