Menu

Derby vs Accrington ST

2 January 2023 at 15:00Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Home

Derby

40
Referee: M. Woods

Match Summary

Derby defeated Accrington ST 4:0. The match was played in League One 2022.

Rivalry since 2019

Derby vs Accrington ST Head to Head Results· 2

Derby and Accrington ST have met 2 times — Derby won 2, Accrington ST won 0, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2019. Derby leads the head-to-head with 2 victories from 2 meetings. A combined 4 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.00 per match (4 for the home side, 0 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 0 matches (0%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 game (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 0–3 in 2022.

2
wins
Drawn
0
·
Total goals
4 · 2.0/match
Both scored
0/2 · 0%
Over 2.5
1/2 · 50%

Recent Meetings

15/10/22League One
Match Details
26/01/19FA Cup
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 03 v 2022

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Derby have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats. Accrington ST show 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Derby

LWLWLW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.5

Average goals per game

100%

Games with 3+ goals

0%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Derby dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

2
wins
draws
0
2 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (61%) — the odds may underestimate Derby.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

2 Jan 202322/231.59/3.97/5.72
Match Details
15 Oct 202222/233.18/3.44/2.23
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 5.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 63.0%Draw 25.2%Away 17.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.573.805.50
Max1.624.105.86
Over 2.5: 51.8%Under 2.5: 51.8%
Market favourite:Derby · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market60.6%23.2%16.2%
Public market58.8%23.8%17.3%
Δ1.7%0.6%1.1%

Derby vs Accrington ST — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Derby
Result vs. Market: Derby (63%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

DerbyHalf-time:30Accrington ST
15Shots5
6Shots on target3

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Derby

W 49D 21L 22
Over 2.549
Goals scored145

Away Record: Accrington ST

W 70D 57L 92
Over 2.551
Goals scored262

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026