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Exeter City vs Morecambe

7 May 2023 at 12:00St James Park, Exeter, Devon
Referee: C. Brook

Match Summary

Exeter City defeated Morecambe 3:2. The match was played in League One 2022.

Rivalry since 2012

Exeter City vs Morecambe Head to Head Results· 18

Exeter City and Morecambe have met 18 times — Exeter City won 7, Morecambe won 4, with 7 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. Exeter City leads the head-to-head with 7 victories from 18 meetings. A combined 48 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.67 per match (28 for the home side, 20 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 10 matches (56%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 games (44%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Morecambe are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–3 in 2019.

Drawn
7
·
Total goals
48 · 2.7/match
Both scored
10/18 · 56%
Over 2.5
8/18 · 44%

Recent Meetings

02/12/22League One
Match Details
26/01/21League Two
Match Details
03/11/20League Two
Match Details
24/08/19League Two
Match Details
12/01/19League Two
Match Details
11/08/18League Two
Match Details
17/03/18League Two
Match Details
30/09/17League Two
Match Details
22/04/17League Two
Match Details
29/10/16League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 23 v 2019

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Exeter City have recorded 1 win, 3 draws and 2 defeats. Morecambe show 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Exeter City1wins
1draws2 meetings
Morecambe0wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.5

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

100%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (40%) — the odds may underestimate Exeter City.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 41.2%Draw 28.2%Away 36.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.383.302.70
Max2.453.732.80
Over 2.5: 59.9%Under 2.5: 46.5%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market39.8%25.4%34.8%
Public market38.6%26.3%35.1%
Δ1.2%0.9%0.2%

Exeter City vs Morecambe — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Exeter City
Result vs. Market: Exeter City (41%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Exeter CityHalf-time:00Morecambe
15Shots14
3Shots on target6

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

7 May 202322/232.43/3.54/2.74
2 Dec 202222/233.56/3.63/2.02

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Exeter City

W 100D 85L 137
Over 2.548
Goals scored371

Away Record: Morecambe

W 20D 26L 46
Over 2.554
Goals scored104

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026