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Burton Albion vs Northampton

25 April 2015 at 15:00Pirelli Stadium, Burton-upon-Trent, Staffordshire

Match Summary

Burton Albion defeated Northampton 3:1. The match was played in League Two 2014.

Rivalry since 2011

Burton Albion vs Northampton Head to Head Results· 17

Drawn
2
·
Total goals
50 · 2.9/match
Both scored
7/17 · 41%
Over 2.5
7/17 · 41%

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Highest-scoring game: 25 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Burton Albion5wins
2draws10 meetings
Northampton3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.9

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (51%) — the odds may underestimate Northampton.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 52.4%Draw 27.4%Away 23.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.903.504.00
Max1.913.754.33
Market favourite:Burton Albion · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market51.1%26.2%22.7%
Public market51.3%26.1%22.6%

Burton Albion vs Northampton — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Burton Albion
Result vs. Market: Burton Albion (52%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Burton AlbionHalf-time:30Northampton
10Shots9
4Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

10 Nov 201414/152.30/3.34/3.21
25/04/1514/151.91/3.65/4.20
26/12/1313/141.80/3.56/4.66
4 Dec 201413/143.25/3.24/2.36
29/09/1212/132.37/3.31/3.07
19/01/1312/132.06/3.53/3.75
26/12/1111/122.59/3.37/2.58
20/03/1211/122.67/3.26/2.59
4 May 201110/112.38/3.30/2.88
3 Jan 201110/112.00/3.36/3.72

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Burton Albion

W 112D 73L 91
Over 2.545
Goals scored368

Away Record: Northampton

W 241D 167L 181
Over 2.546
Goals scored801

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026