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Cheltenham vs Grimsby

Whaddon Road, Cheltenham17 October 2017 at 19:45
23

Match Events

Cheltenham
Grimsby
Kick Off
13′
S. Dembele

assist: P. Dixon

H. Pell

assist: M. Eisa

26′
42′
D. Collins
44′
S. Dembele

assist: S. Jones

Half Time
H. PellN. Atangana
46′
50′
P. DixonZ. Mills
J. SellarsD. O'Shaughnessy
60′
J. CranstonF. Hinds
73′
76′
S. DembeleJ. Matt
83′
M. WoolfordS. Kelly
Freddy Hinds85′
C. Winchester

assist: J. Morrell

85′
88′Ben Davies
90′Luke Summerfield
Full Time

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal9
12Shots off Goal1
21Total Shots11
5Blocked Shots1
7Shots insidebox8
14Shots outsidebox3
9Fouls11
9Corner Kicks9
3Offsides2
56%Ball Possession44%
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
6Goalkeeper Saves2
0Total passes0
0Passes accurate0
0Passes %0

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Cheltenham is 5.87, compared to — for Grimsby. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Cheltenham's highest-rated starter is H. Pell (5.87), while Grimsby's best-rated player is —.

Defensive Solidity

Cheltenham deploy 3 defenders rated — on average, against Grimsby's 3-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Cheltenham field 4 midfielders averaging 5.87, versus Grimsby's 6 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Cheltenham start 3 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 1 for Grimsby averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 58% for Cheltenham and —% for Grimsby. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Cheltenham's starters have collected 1 yellow cards this season, compared to 0 for Grimsby. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Cheltenham's starting XI is 34.0 (youngest: H. Pell (34), oldest: H. Pell (34)), while Grimsby average — (youngest: —, oldest: —). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Cheltenham's starters average 3 league appearances each, versus 0 for Grimsby. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Cheltenham4-4-1-14-4-2Grimsby
GKDEFMIDFWD
24Flinders2Grimes3Cranston28Moore8Dawson7Pell11Winches.17Sellars25Morrell9Wright20Eisa1McKeown6Collins3Dixon5Clarke19Summerf.25Woolford2Davies7Berrett10Jones27Dembele21Vernon

Substitutes

Coach: G. Johnson

Substitutes

Coach: R. Slade

CheltenhamPosition StrengthGrimsby
5.87
Avg Rating
5.87Midfielder (4 v 6)
0G 0A0G 0A
Cheltenham4-4-1-1
24GoalkeeperS. Flinders
2DefenderJ. Grimes
3DefenderJ. Cranston
28DefenderT. Moore
8MidfielderK. Dawson
7MidfielderH. Pell5.9
11MidfielderC. Winchester
25MidfielderJ. Morrell
17ForwardJ. Sellars
9ForwardD. Wright
20ForwardM. Eisa
Grimsby4-4-2
1GoalkeeperJ. McKeown
6DefenderD. Collins
3DefenderP. Dixon
5DefenderN. Clarke
19MidfielderL. Summerfield
25MidfielderM. Woolford
2MidfielderB. Davies
7MidfielderJ. Berrett
10MidfielderS. Jones
27MidfielderS. Dembele
21ForwardS. Vernon

Match Summary

Grimsby defeated Cheltenham 3:2. The match was played in League Two 2017. Goals were scored by S. Dembele 13′, H. Pell 26′, D. Collins 42′, S. Dembele 44′, C. Winchester 85′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Cheltenham had 56% possession while Grimsby held 44%. Cheltenham had 21 shots (4 on target) compared to 11 (9 on target) for Grimsby. Cheltenham made 3 substitutions, Grimsby made 3.

Rivalry since 2015

Cheltenham vs Grimsby Head to Head Results

14 stretnutí
Cheltenham
5
wins
Drawn
4
Grimsby
5
wins
Total goals
38 · 2.7/match
Both scored
9/14 · 64%
Over 2.5
6/14 · 43%

Recent Form

Cheltenham

LLLWWW

Grimsby

DWWWLW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Grimsby dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Cheltenham1wins
3draws10 meetings
Grimsby6wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.2

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (48%) — the odds may underestimate Grimsby.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 49.8%Draw 27.6%Away 26.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.003.403.75
Max2.023.803.90
Market favourite:Cheltenham · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market48.3%26.7%25.0%
Public market48.7%25.6%25.6%
Δ0.4%1.1%0.6%

Cheltenham vs Grimsby — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Grimsby
Result vs. Market: Cheltenham (50%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CheltenhamHalf-time:13Grimsby
21Shots12
4Shots on target9

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
24/01/26Cheltenham0–2Grimsby3.80/3.40/1.91
27/09/25Grimsby7–1Cheltenham1.42/4.45/6.50
01/03/25Cheltenham1–1Grimsby2.39/3.27/2.93
17/08/24Grimsby3–2Cheltenham2.44/3.31/2.86
05/04/21Grimsby1–1Cheltenham4.47/3.50/1.82
13/10/20Cheltenham1–3Grimsby1.73/3.84/4.59
26/11/19Grimsby0–0Cheltenham2.74/3.31/2.69
16/02/19Grimsby1–0Cheltenham2.22/3.55/3.18
08/12/18Cheltenham2–1Grimsby2.18/3.30/3.57
17/10/17Cheltenham2–3Grimsby2.01/3.62/3.82

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Cheltenham

W 234D 194L 252
Over 2.545
Goals scored842

Away Record: Grimsby

W 223D 181L 277
Over 2.548
Goals scored792

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026